The probability of having 0 girlfriends:
p ( 0 ) = C 5 4 C 9 4 = 5 ! 4 ! 1 ! ⋅ 4 ! 5 ! 9 ! = 5 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 = 5 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 = 5 126 p(0) = \frac{{C_5^4}}{{C_9^4}} = \frac{{5!}}{{4!1!}} \cdot \frac{{4!5!}}{{9!}} = 5 \cdot \frac{{2 \cdot 3 \cdot 4}}{{6 \cdot 7 \cdot 8 \cdot 9}} = \frac{5}{{7 \cdot 2 \cdot 9}} = \frac{5}{{126}} p ( 0 ) = C 9 4 C 5 4 = 4 ! 1 ! 5 ! ⋅ 9 ! 4 ! 5 ! = 5 ⋅ 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 = 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 5 = 126 5
The probability of having 1 girlfriend:
p ( 1 ) = C 5 3 C 4 1 C 9 4 = 5 ! 3 ! 2 ! ⋅ 4 ! 3 ! 1 ! ⋅ 4 ! 5 ! 9 ! = 4 ⋅ 5 2 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 = 40 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 = 20 63 p(1) = \frac{{C_5^3C_4^1}}{{C_9^4}} = \frac{{5!}}{{3!2!}} \cdot \frac{{4!}}{{3!1!}} \cdot \frac{{4!5!}}{{9!}} = \frac{{4 \cdot 5}}{2} \cdot 4 \cdot \frac{{2 \cdot 3 \cdot 4}}{{6 \cdot 7 \cdot 8 \cdot 9}} = \frac{{40}}{{7 \cdot 2 \cdot 9}} = \frac{{20}}{{63}} p ( 1 ) = C 9 4 C 5 3 C 4 1 = 3 ! 2 ! 5 ! ⋅ 3 ! 1 ! 4 ! ⋅ 9 ! 4 ! 5 ! = 2 4 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 = 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 40 = 63 20
The probability of having 2 girlfriends:
p ( 2 ) = C 5 2 C 4 2 C 9 4 = 5 ! 3 ! 2 ! ⋅ 4 ! 2 ! 2 ! ⋅ 4 ! 5 ! 9 ! = 4 ⋅ 5 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 2 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 = 60 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 = 30 63 p(2) = \frac{{C_5^2C_4^2}}{{C_9^4}} = \frac{{5!}}{{3!2!}} \cdot \frac{{4!}}{{2!2!}} \cdot \frac{{4!5!}}{{9!}} = \frac{{4 \cdot 5}}{2} \cdot \frac{{3 \cdot 4}}{2} \cdot \frac{{2 \cdot 3 \cdot 4}}{{6 \cdot 7 \cdot 8 \cdot 9}} = \frac{{60}}{{7 \cdot 2 \cdot 9}} = \frac{{30}}{{63}} p ( 2 ) = C 9 4 C 5 2 C 4 2 = 3 ! 2 ! 5 ! ⋅ 2 ! 2 ! 4 ! ⋅ 9 ! 4 ! 5 ! = 2 4 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 2 3 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 = 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 60 = 63 30
The probability of having 3 girlfriends:
p ( 3 ) = C 5 1 C 4 3 C 9 4 = 5 ! 1 ! 4 ! ⋅ 4 ! 3 ! 1 ! ⋅ 4 ! 5 ! 9 ! = 5 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 = 20 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 = 10 63 p(3) = \frac{{C_5^1C_4^3}}{{C_9^4}} = \frac{{5!}}{{1!4!}} \cdot \frac{{4!}}{{3!1!}} \cdot \frac{{4!5!}}{{9!}} = 5 \cdot 4 \cdot \frac{{2 \cdot 3 \cdot 4}}{{6 \cdot 7 \cdot 8 \cdot 9}} = \frac{{20}}{{7 \cdot 2 \cdot 9}} = \frac{{10}}{{63}} p ( 3 ) = C 9 4 C 5 1 C 4 3 = 1 ! 4 ! 5 ! ⋅ 3 ! 1 ! 4 ! ⋅ 9 ! 4 ! 5 ! = 5 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 = 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 20 = 63 10
The probability of having 4 girlfriends:
p ( 4 ) = C 4 4 C 9 4 = 4 ! 5 ! 9 ! = 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 = 1 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 = 1 126 p(4) = \frac{{C_4^4}}{{C_9^4}} = \frac{{4!5!}}{{9!}} = \frac{{2 \cdot 3 \cdot 4}}{{6 \cdot 7 \cdot 8 \cdot 9}} = \frac{1}{{7 \cdot 2 \cdot 9}} = \frac{1}{{126}} p ( 4 ) = C 9 4 C 4 4 = 9 ! 4 ! 5 ! = 6 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 9 2 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 4 = 7 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 9 1 = 126 1
We have the probability distribution:
T 0 1 2 3 4 p 5 126 20 63 30 63 10 63 1 126 \begin{matrix}
T&0&1&2&3&4\\
p&{\frac{5}{{126}}}&{\frac{{20}}{{63}}}&{\frac{{30}}{{63}}}&{\frac{{10}}{{63}}}&{\frac{1}{{126}}}
\end{matrix} T p 0 126 5 1 63 20 2 63 30 3 63 10 4 126 1
Find the mean:
M ( T ) = ∑ t i p i = 0 ⋅ 5 126 + 1 ⋅ 20 63 + 2 ⋅ 30 63 + 3 ⋅ 10 63 + 4 ⋅ 1 126 = 112 63 = 16 9 M(T) = \sum {{t_i}} {p_i} = 0 \cdot \frac{5}{{126}} + 1 \cdot \frac{{20}}{{63}} + 2 \cdot \frac{{30}}{{63}} + 3 \cdot \frac{{10}}{{63}} + 4 \cdot \frac{1}{{126}} = \frac{{112}}{{63}} = \frac{{16}}{9} M ( T ) = ∑ t i p i = 0 ⋅ 126 5 + 1 ⋅ 63 20 + 2 ⋅ 63 30 + 3 ⋅ 63 10 + 4 ⋅ 126 1 = 63 112 = 9 16
Find the variance:
D ( T ) = M ( T 2 ) − M 2 ( T ) = 0 ⋅ 5 126 + 1 ⋅ 20 63 + 4 ⋅ 30 63 + 9 ⋅ 10 63 + 16 ⋅ 1 126 − ( 16 9 ) 2 = D(T) = M({T^2}) - {M^2}(T) = 0 \cdot \frac{5}{{126}} + 1 \cdot \frac{{20}}{{63}} + 4 \cdot \frac{{30}}{{63}} + 9 \cdot \frac{{10}}{{63}} + 16 \cdot \frac{1}{{126}} - {\left( {\frac{{16}}{9}} \right)^2} = D ( T ) = M ( T 2 ) − M 2 ( T ) = 0 ⋅ 126 5 + 1 ⋅ 63 20 + 4 ⋅ 63 30 + 9 ⋅ 63 10 + 16 ⋅ 126 1 − ( 9 16 ) 2 =
= 238 63 − 256 81 = 50 81 = \frac{{238}}{{63}} - \frac{{256}}{{81}} = \frac{{50}}{{81}} = 63 238 − 81 256 = 81 50
Find the standard deviation:
σ ( T ) = D ( T ) = 50 81 = 5 2 9 \sigma (T) = \sqrt {D(T)} = \sqrt {\frac{{50}}{{81}}} = \frac{{5\sqrt 2 }}{9} σ ( T ) = D ( T ) = 81 50 = 9 5 2
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