Question #323843

A pipe-smoking mathematician always carries two boxes of matches - one is his right pocket and another in his left pocket. Each time he needs a match, he is equally likely to take it from either pocket. Suppose that each box initially contains n matches. What is the probability that once the mathematician discovers that one of the boxes is empty, there are exactly k matches in the other box, k = 0,1,...n?



1
Expert's answer
2022-04-18T15:48:47-0400

2 variantstochooseboxwhichisfoundemptyCn+kkvariantsforthesequenceofmatchesfromtheboxes2n+k+1totalvariantstochooseabox(thelastboxischosenthatempty)P=2Cn+kk2n+k+1=Cn+kk2n+k2\ variants\,\,to\,\,choose\,\,box\,\,which\,\,is\,\,found\,\,empty\\C_{n+k}^{k}\,\,variants\,\,for\,\,the\,\,sequence\,\,of\,\,matches\,\,from\,\,the\,\,boxes\\2^{n+k+1}\,\,total\,\,variants\,\,to\,\,choose\,\,a\,\,box\,\,\left( the\,\,last\,\,box\,\,is\,\,chosen\,\,that\,\,empty \right) \\P=\frac{2\cdot C_{n+k}^{k}}{2^{n+k+1}}=\frac{C_{n+k}^{k}}{2^{n+k}}


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