Question #242539

Suppose that a man leaves for work between 8:00 a.m and 8:30 a.m and takes between 40 and 50 minutes to get to the oce. Let X denote the time of departure and let Y denote the time of travel. If we assume that these random variables are independent and uniformly distributed, find the probability that he arrives at the office before 9:00 a.m


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Expert's answer
2022-01-31T17:18:53-0500

This is task on geometric probability. We consider random vector Z =(X,Y) which has uniform distribution in rectangle .and interpret random event Q of arriving to work before 9.00 as subset of universe  with definition Q={(x,y)[0;30]×[40;50]:x+y60}Q=\{(x,y)\in [0;30]\times [40;50]:x+y\le 60\}  . Then probability of Q will be p(Q)=QU=Q300p(Q)=\frac{|Q|}{|U|}=\frac{|Q|}{300} . For finding measure  of favorable event Q we use geometrical considerations:





we see that favorable event Q trapezoid with base AC=10 and two heights AB=60-50=10 and CD=60-40=20. Thus area of Q is |Q|=1010+202=15010\cdot \frac{10+20}{2}=150 . Therefore the probability to find is p(Q)=S(Q)/S(U)=150300=0.5p(Q)=S(Q)/S(U)=\frac{150}{300}=0.5

Thus answer is 0.5.


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