1) Traffic lights with a turning arrow are red 60% of the time. If you approach 5 lights in a row, find the probability of stopping:
a. Exactly three times.
b. At least two times.
Solution:
Given, p=60%=0.6,q=0.4,=5p=60\%=0.6, q=0.4,=5p=60%=0.6,q=0.4,=5
X∼Bin(n,p)X\sim Bin(n,p)X∼Bin(n,p)
(a) P(X=3)=5C3(0.6)3(0.4)2=0.3456P(X=3)=^5C_3 (0.6)^3(0.4)^2=0.3456P(X=3)=5C3(0.6)3(0.4)2=0.3456
(b) P(X≥2)=1−P(X<2)=1−[P(X=0+P(X=1)]P(X\ge2)=1-P(X<2)=1-[P(X=0+P(X=1)]P(X≥2)=1−P(X<2)=1−[P(X=0+P(X=1)]
=1−[5C0(0.6)0(0.4)5+5C1(0.6)1(0.4)4]=0.91296=1-[^5C_0 (0.6)^0(0.4)^5+^5C_1 (0.6)^1(0.4)^4] \\=0.91296=1−[5C0(0.6)0(0.4)5+5C1(0.6)1(0.4)4]=0.91296
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