Question #89610
5.2 The service time of the first service of a BMW is found to be normally distributed, with a mean of 70 minutes and a standard deviation of 9 minutes. Determine the following:
5.2.1 The probability that the first service will take more than an hour and a half.
5.2.2 The probability that the first service will take between 50 and 60 minutes.
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1
Expert's answer
2019-05-13T09:40:38-0400

If XN(μ,σ2)X\sim N(\mu, \sigma^2) then


Z=XμσN(0,1)Z={X-\mu \over \sigma}\sim N(0, 1)

Given that μ=70 min,σ=9 min.\mu=70 \ min, \sigma=9 \ min.

5.2.1 The probability that the first service will take more than an hour and a half. 


(1+1/2) h=90 min(1+1/2)\ h=90\ min

Z=90709=2092.2222Z={90-70\over 9}={20\over 9}\approx 2.2222

P(X>90)=P(Z>209)=1P(Z209)=P(X>90)=P(Z>{20\over 9})=1-P(Z\leq{20\over 9})=

=10.986869=0.013131=1-0.986869=0.013131

The probability that the first service will take more than an hour and a half is 0.013131.0.013131.


5.2.2 The probability that the first service will take between 50 and 60 minutes. 


Z1=60709=1091.1111Z_1={60-70\over 9}=-{10\over 9}\approx -1.1111

Z2=50709=2092.2222Z_2={50-70\over 9}=-{20\over 9}\approx -2.2222

P(50<X<60)=P(209<Z<109)=P(50<X<60)=P({-20\over 9}<Z<{-10\over 9})=

=P(Z<1.1111)P(Z<2.2222)=P(Z<-1.1111)-P(Z<-2.2222)\approx

0.1332600.013134=0.120126\approx 0.133260-0.013134=0.120126

The probability that the first service will take between 50 and 60 minutes is 0.120126.0.120126.


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