1:H1:wwwfrombox1H2:wwbfrombox1H3:wbbfrombox1H4:bbbfrombox1A:samecolorsP(H1)=C133C73=0.122378P(H2)=C133C72C61=0.440559P(H3)=C133C71C62=0.367133P(H4)=C133C63=0.0699301P(A∣H1)=[9b,11w]=C202C112+C92=0.478947P(A∣H2)=[10b,10w]=C202C102+C102=0.473684P(A∣H3)=[11b,9w]=C202C92+C112=0.478947P(A∣H4)=[12b,8w]=C202C82+C122=0.494737P(A)=P(A∣H1)P(H1)+P(A∣H2)P(H2)+P(A∣H3)P(H3)+P(A∣H4)P(H4)==0.478947⋅0.122378+0.473684⋅0.440559+0.478947⋅0.367133+0.494737⋅0.0699301==0.4777332:P(different)=1−P(same)=1−0.477733=0.522267
Comments
Leave a comment