Question #283478

What is convergence of binomial to and to notmal distribution?

1
Expert's answer
2022-01-02T17:30:11-0500

Let XX be a Binomial random variable given as,

f(x)=(nx)pxqnx, x=0,1,2,.....nf(x)=\binom{n}{x}p^xq^{n-x},\space x=0,1,2,.....n


0, elsewhere0,\space elsewhere

For small values of nn the probability that XXassumes a specified value can be obtained from the Binomial tables. When nn is sufficiently large, and the probability of success (p)(p) is close to 0.5, the distribution of XX tends to the normal distribution with mean and standard deviation given by,

μ=E(x)=np\mu=E(x)=np and σ=var(x)=np(1p)=npq\sigma=\sqrt{var (x)}=\sqrt{np(1-p)}=\sqrt{npq}

We write,

f(x)N(np,(npq))f(x)\sim N(np,(npq))

To find p(X=a)=p(a0.5<X<a+0.5)p(X=a)=p(a-0.5\lt X\lt a+0.5)

=p(a0.5npnpq<Z<a+0.5npnpq)=p({a-0.5-np\over\sqrt{npq}}\lt Z\lt{a+0.5-np\over\sqrt{npq}}) where 0.5 is a correction factor for continuity.

A possible guide to determine when the normal approximation may be used is provided by calculating npnp and n(1p)n(1-p). If both of these quantities exceed 5, the approximation will yield good results.


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