Question #275914

Researchers suspect that 18% of all high school students smoke at least one pack of cigarettes a day. At Wilson High School, with an enrollment of 300 students, a study found that 50 students smoked at least one pack of cigarettes a day. At a=0.05, test the claim that 18% of all high school students smoke at least one pack of cigarettes day.


1
Expert's answer
2021-12-06T13:22:34-0500

The following null and alternative hypotheses for the population proportion needs to be tested:

H0:p0.18H_0:p\geq 0.18

H1:p<0.18H_1:p<0.18

This corresponds to a left-tailed test, for which a z-test for one population proportion will be used.

Based on the information provided, the significance level is α=0.05,\alpha = 0.05, and the critical value for a left-tailed test is zc=1.6449.z_c = -1.6449.

The rejection region for this left-tailed test is R={z:z<1.6449}.R = \{z: z < -1.6449\}.

The z-statistic is computed as follows:


z=p^p0p0(1p0)nz=\dfrac{\hat{p}-p_0}{\sqrt{\dfrac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}}

=50/3000.180.18(10.18)3000.601113=\dfrac{50/300-0.18}{\sqrt{\dfrac{0.18(1-0.18)}{300}}}\approx-0.601113

Since it is observed that z=0.6011131.6449=zc,z = -0.601113 \ge -1.6449=z_c , it is then concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.

Using the P-value approach: The p-value is p=P(Z<0.601113)p=P(Z<-0.601113)=0.273882,=0.273882, and since p=0.273882>0.05=α,p = 0.273882>0.05=\alpha , it is concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.

Therefore, there is not enough evidence to claim that the population proportion  pp is less than 0.18,0.18, at the α=0.05\alpha = 0.05  significance level.

Therefore, there is enough evidence to claim that at least 18% of all high school students smoke at least one pack of cigarettes day at the α=0.05\alpha = 0.05  significance level.


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