Question #235189

The life of an electronic device is known to have the exponential distribution with parameter λ = 1/1000 .
(i) What is the probability that the device lasts more than 1000 hours?
(ii) What is the probability it will last less than 1200 hours?
(iii) Find the mean and variance of the life of the electronic device.

Expert's answer

Let X be the lifetime of the given electronic device. X has the exponential distribution with parameter λ=1/1000\lambda = 1/1000 means that P(X>t)=e−λtP(X>t)=e^{-\lambda t}, for all t>0t>0.

(i) P(X>1000)=e−1000/1000=e−1=0.3679P(X>1000)=e^{-1000/1000}=e^{-1}=0.3679

(ii) P(X≤1200)=1−e−1200/1000=1−e−1.2=0.6988P(X\leq 1200)=1-e^{-1200/1000}=1-e^{-1.2}=0.6988

(iii) The probability dense function is

fX(t)=ddtP(X≤t)=ddt(1−e−λt)=λe−λtf_X(t)=\frac{d}{dt}P(X\leq t)=\frac{d}{dt}(1-e^{-\lambda t})=\lambda e^{-\lambda t}

The mean of the life of the electronic device is

E(X)=∫0+∞tfX(t)dt=∫0+∞tλe−λtdt=E(X)=\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty}tf_X(t)dt=\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty}t\lambda e^{-\lambda t}dt=

=1λ∫0+∞λte−λtd(λt)=1λ∫0+∞te−tdt=1λ=1000=\frac{1}{\lambda}\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty}\lambda te^{-\lambda t}d(\lambda t)=\frac{1}{\lambda}\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty} te^{- t}dt=\frac{1}{\lambda}=1000

The mean of the squared X is

E(X2)=∫0+∞t2fX(t)dt=∫0+∞t2λe−λtdt=E(X^2)=\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty}t^2f_X(t)dt=\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty} t^2 \lambda e^{-\lambda t}dt=

=1λ2∫0+∞(λt)2e−λtd(λt)=1λ2∫0+∞t2e−tdt=2λ2=2⋅106=\frac{1}{\lambda^2}\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty}(\lambda t)^2e^{-\lambda t}d(\lambda t)=\frac{1}{\lambda^2}\int\limits_{0}^{+\infty} t^2e^{- t}dt=\frac{2}{\lambda^2}=2\cdot 10^6

The variance of the life of the electronic device is

Var(X)=E(X2)−E(X)2=2⋅106−10002=106Var(X)=E(X^2)-E(X)^2=2\cdot 10^6-1000^2=10^6

The standard deviation of the life of the electronic device is

σX=Var(X)=106=1000\sigma_X=\sqrt{Var(X)}=\sqrt{10^6}=1000


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