Question #187902

An X-bar control chart monitors the mean of a process by checking that the average stays between control.pngand control2.png. When the process is under control,
(a) What is the probability that five consecutive sample means of n cases stay within these limits?

(b) What is the probability that all of the means for 100 days falls within the control limits?

The following content

Expert's answer

(a)

The choice α=0.0027\alpha=0.0027 puts the control limits at Zα2Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}} standard errors from the process target. The probability that a sample mean goes out of the limit is 0.00270.0027 . This Gives the probability that a sample mean stay within these limits is 10.0027=0.9973.1-0.0027=0.9973.  


Therefore, the probability that five consecutive sample means of n cases stay within these limit is:

    (0.9973)5=0.986573(0.9973)^5=0.986573


(b) The choice α=0.0027\alpha=0.0027 puts the control limits at Zα2Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}} standard errors from the process target. The probability that a sample mean goes out of the limit is 0.0027.0.0027. This Gives the probability that a sample mean stay within these limits is 10.0027=0.9973.1-0.0027=0.9973.


Therefore, the probability that all 100 sample means of 100 days (cases) stay within these limit is:

    (0.9973)100=0.763101(0.9973)^{100}=0.763101


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