Question #67667

An environmental agency worries that many cars may be violating clean air emissions standards. The agency hopes to check a sample of vehicles in order to estimate that percentage with a margin of error of 5​% and 90​% confidence. To gauge the size of the​ problem, the agency first picks 80 cars and finds 16 with faulty emissions systems. How many should be sampled for a full​ investigation?
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Expert's answer

2017-05-05T13:58:09-0400

Answer on Question #67667 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

An environmental agency worries that many cars may be violating clean air emissions standards. The agency hopes to check a sample of vehicles in order to estimate that percentage with a margin of error of 5% and 90% confidence. To gauge the size of the problem, the agency first picks 80 cars and finds 16 with faulty emissions systems. How many should be sampled for a full investigation?

Solution

Sample proportion is


p^=1680=0.2.\hat{p} = \frac{16}{80} = 0.2.


Margin of error is


ME=z0.05p^(1p^)nME = z_{0.05} \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{n}} \rightarrow


The sample is


n=(z0.05ME)2p^(1p^)=(1.6450.05)20.20.8=174.\rightarrow n = \left(\frac{z_{0.05}}{ME}\right)^2 \hat{p}(1 - \hat{p}) = \left(\frac{1.645}{0.05}\right)^2 \cdot 0.2 \cdot 0.8 = 174.


Answer: 174.

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