Question #43093

The probability that I go to the gym on any given day of the week is 30%.
What is the probability distribution of the number of times that I go to the gym over the course of one week (7 days).

My physician recommends that I go to the gym at least 3 times per week. What is the probability that I follow the physician’s recommendation and go to the gym at least 3 times in a one week period?
1

Expert's answer

2014-06-05T04:24:11-0400

Answer on Question #43093-Math-Statistics and Probability

The probability that I go to the gym on any given day of the week is 30%.

What is the probability distribution of the number of times that I go to the gym over the course of one week (7 days)?

Solution

The probability distribution of the number of times (k) that I go to the gym over the course of 7 days is


Pr(X=k)=(7k)0.3k(0.7)7k,\Pr(X = k) = \binom{7}{k} 0.3^k (0.7)^{7-k},


for k=0,1,2,,7k = 0, 1, 2, \ldots, 7, where


(7k)=7!(7k)!k!.\binom{7}{k} = \frac{7!}{(7-k)!k!}.


My physician recommends that I go to the gym at least 3 times per week. What is the probability that I follow the physician's recommendation and go to the gym at least 3 times in a one week period?

Solution

The probability that I follow the physician's recommendation and go to the gym at least 3 times in a one week period is


P(X3)=1Pr(X=0)Pr(X=1)Pr(X=2)=17!(70)!0!0.30(0.7)707!(71)!1!0.31(0.7)717!(72)!2!0.32(0.7)72.\begin{aligned} P(X \geq 3) &= 1 - \Pr(X = 0) - \Pr(X = 1) - \Pr(X = 2) \\ &= 1 - \frac{7!}{(7-0)!0!} 0.3^0 (0.7)^{7-0} - \frac{7!}{(7-1)!1!} 0.3^1 (0.7)^{7-1} - \frac{7!}{(7-2)!2!} 0.3^2 (0.7)^{7-2}. \end{aligned}P(X3)=1(0.7)77!(6)!0.3(0.7)67!(5)!2!0.32(0.7)5=10.08230.24710.3176=0.3530.\begin{aligned} P(X \geq 3) &= 1 - (0.7)^7 - \frac{7!}{(6)!} 0.3 (0.7)^6 - \frac{7!}{(5)!2!} 0.3^2 (0.7)^5 = 1 - 0.0823 - 0.2471 - 0.3176 \\ &= 0.3530. \end{aligned}


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