Question #42119

Assume that 90% of all industries contain shipping open order files in their computerized database. In a random sample of 10 industries, let X be the number that includes shipping open order files in their computerized database.
i) Find P(X=8)
ii) Find P(X>5)
iii) Find the mean and variance of X.
1

Expert's answer

2014-05-07T03:46:58-0400

Answer on Question #42119 - Math - Statistics and Probability

Assume that 90%90\% of all industries contain shipping open order files in their computerized database. In a random sample of 10 industries, let XX be the number that includes shipping open order files in their computerized database.

i) Find P(X=8)P(X = 8)

ii) Find P(X>5)P(X > 5)

iii) Find the mean and variance of XX.

Solution.

We have the Bernoulli scheme with n=10n = 10 trials.

Let pp is success probability. We've got that p=0.9p = 0.9.

Now, we construct the probability function:


f(k)=P(X=k)=C10kpk(1p)10kf(k) = P(X = k) = C_{10}^{k} \cdot p^{k} \cdot (1 - p)^{10 - k}


i) P(X=8)=C108p8(1p)8=10!8!2!0.980.120.1937P(X = 8) = C_{10}^{8} \cdot p^{8} \cdot (1 - p)^{8} = \frac{10!}{8! \cdot 2!} \cdot 0.9^{8} \cdot 0.1^{2} \approx 0.1937

ii) P(X>5)=k=610C10kpk(1p)10k0.9984P(X > 5) = \sum_{k=6}^{10} C_{10}^{k} \cdot p^{k} \cdot (1 - p)^{10 - k} \approx 0.9984

iii) It is Bernoulli scheme, so we have binomial distribution. Then, mean of XX is equal to np=100.9=9n \cdot p = 10 \cdot 0.9 = 9. Variance of XX is equal to np(1p)=100.90.1=0.9n \cdot p \cdot (1 - p) = 10 \cdot 0.9 \cdot 0.1 = 0.9

Answer: i) P(X=8)0.1937P(X = 8) \approx 0.1937,

ii) P(X>5)0.9984P(X > 5) \approx 0.9984,

iv) Mean of XX is 9, variance of XX is 0.9.

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