A bottled water company has found in the past that 2% of their bottled water does not meet the company’s high standards. As such periodic samples are taken and tested for their quality. If from the last batch a sample of 12 bottles are taken and tested, determine the probability:
i. Carefully defining the random variable of interest [1]
ii. What is the probability distribution? State the values of the parameters [2]
iii. Justifying the suitability of the probability distribution identified in part (ii) [4]
iv. Calculate the probability that at most 2 bottles do not meet the company’s Standards [4]
v. The expected number of bottles that do not meet the company’s standards. [2]
vi. The amount of sodium sulfate, in mg, found in the bottled water follows a normal distribution with a mean 13mg and a standard deviation of 2.5mg. It is known that 76% of the bottles have a mean that is more than x mg. Find the value of x
i. The variable of interest is the number of bottles that don't meet the companies high standard.
II. This the a binomial distribution with n=12 and p=0.02
III. This is binomial distribution since we have a fixed number of trials (12) ,a fixed success rate and they are only 2 possible outcomes.
Iv.
P(X=x)="\\binom{n}{x}\\cdot p^x\\cdot(1-p)^{n-x\n}"
P(x"\\le" 2)=P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)
P(x=0)="\\binom{12}{0}\\cdot0.02^0\\cdot0.98^{12}" =0.785
P(x=1)="\\binom{12}{1}\\cdot0.02^1\\cdot0.98^{11}" =0.193
P(x=2)="\\binom{12}{2}\\cdot0.02^2\\cdot0.98^{10}" =0.022
P(x"\\le" 2)=0.785+0.193+0.022
P(x"\\le" 2)=0.998
The probability that at most 2 don't meet the companies high standard is 0.998.
v
Expected=n"\\cdot" p
Expected =12"\\cdot"0.02 =0.24
vi
mean ("\\bar x)" =13
standard deviation(s)=2.5
x=?
From the standard normal table 0.24 corresponding to z value 0.71
z="\\frac{x-\\bar x}{s}"
0.71="\\frac{x-13}{2.5}"
x=0.71*2.5+13
x=14.775
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