Question #317976

student is to match three historical events (Mahatma Gandhi’s Birthday, India’s freedom, 

and First World War) with three years (1947, 1914, 1896). If he guesses with no knowledge 

of the correct answers, what is the probability of the number of answers he gets correctly?


Expert's answer

The  student  needs  to  put  the  events  1,2,3in  the  correct  order.X−the  number  of  correct  answersAll  possible  variants  are(1,2,3),X=3(1,3,2),X=1(2,1,3),X=1(2,3,1),X=0(3,1,2),X=0(3,2,1),X=1P(X=0)=26=13P(X=1)=36=12P(X=3)=16The\,\,student\,\,needs\,\,to\,\,put\,\,the\,\,events\,\,1,2,3 in\,\,the\,\,correct\,\,order.\\X-the\,\,number\,\,of\,\,correct\,\,answers\\All\,\,possible\,\,variants\,\,are\\\left( 1,2,3 \right) ,X=3\\\left( 1,3,2 \right) ,X=1\\\left( 2,1,3 \right) ,X=1\\\left( 2,3,1 \right) ,X=0\\\left( 3,1,2 \right) ,X=0\\\left( 3,2,1 \right) ,X=1\\P\left( X=0 \right) =\frac{2}{6}=\frac{1}{3}\\P\left( X=1 \right) =\frac{3}{6}=\frac{1}{2}\\P\left( X=3 \right) =\frac{1}{6}\\


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