student is to match three historical events (Mahatma Gandhi’s Birthday, India’s freedom,
and First World War) with three years (1947, 1914, 1896). If he guesses with no knowledge
of the correct answers, what is the probability of the number of answers he gets correctly?
The student needs to put the events 1,2,3in the correct order.X−the number of correct answersAll possible variants are(1,2,3),X=3(1,3,2),X=1(2,1,3),X=1(2,3,1),X=0(3,1,2),X=0(3,2,1),X=1P(X=0)=26=13P(X=1)=36=12P(X=3)=16The\,\,student\,\,needs\,\,to\,\,put\,\,the\,\,events\,\,1,2,3 in\,\,the\,\,correct\,\,order.\\X-the\,\,number\,\,of\,\,correct\,\,answers\\All\,\,possible\,\,variants\,\,are\\\left( 1,2,3 \right) ,X=3\\\left( 1,3,2 \right) ,X=1\\\left( 2,1,3 \right) ,X=1\\\left( 2,3,1 \right) ,X=0\\\left( 3,1,2 \right) ,X=0\\\left( 3,2,1 \right) ,X=1\\P\left( X=0 \right) =\frac{2}{6}=\frac{1}{3}\\P\left( X=1 \right) =\frac{3}{6}=\frac{1}{2}\\P\left( X=3 \right) =\frac{1}{6}\\Thestudentneedstoputtheevents1,2,3inthecorrectorder.X−thenumberofcorrectanswersAllpossiblevariantsare(1,2,3),X=3(1,3,2),X=1(2,1,3),X=1(2,3,1),X=0(3,1,2),X=0(3,2,1),X=1P(X=0)=62=31P(X=1)=63=21P(X=3)=61
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