a) A machine is set to produce disc plates with a mean diameter of 14 mm. A sample of 8 discs gave a mean diameter, đť‘ĄĚ… = 14.9 mm and a standard deviation, s = 1.33 mm. A test was carried out at the 5% level of significance to determine whether the machine is in good working order. Assume that the diameter of the disc follows a normal distribution. i. State, in symbols, the null and alternate hypotheses for this test. [2] ii. State, with reasons, whether a t-test or a z-test will be appropriate. [3] iii. (Determine the rejection region(s) of the test. [3] iv. Calculate the value of the test statistic. [3] v. State, with reason, a valid conclusion for the test. [2]
Method 1
"\\bar{x} = 14.9 \\\\\n\ns = 1.33 \\\\\n\nn=8 \\\\\n\n\u03b1=0.05"
"\\mu=14mm."
(i)
For the machine to be in a good working condition, the mean diameter of disc plates produced should be 14mm, otherwise the machine is in bad working condition.
Therefore,
"H_0:\\mu=14"
"Against"
"H_1:\\mu\\not=14"
These are respectively the required null and alternative hypotheses in symbols to perform the test.
(ii) When the sample size n<30 and the population standard deviation "\\sigma" is unknown, a one sample t-test for the population mean "\\mu" is used, where the sample standard deviation "s" is used.
(iii) Based on the information provided, the significance level is α=0.05 and df = n-1 = 7 degrees of freedom.
The critical value of the two-tailed test is "t_c = 2.365"
The rejection region is "R = \\{t: |t| > 2.364619\\}."
(iv) The t-statistic is computed as follows:
"t = \\frac{\\bar{x} - \\mu}{ s \/ \\sqrt{n}} \\\\\n\nt = \\frac{14.9-14}{1.33 \/ \\sqrt{8}} \\\\\n\nt = 1.914"
(v) Using the critical value approach: since it is observed that "|t| = 1.913973 \\le 2.364619= t_c ," it is then concluded that we fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to claim that the population mean is different than 14 at α=0.05 significance level. Thus, the machine is in good working order.
Using the P-value approach: the p-value for two-tailed test with "\\alpha=0.05, df=7" degrees of freedom, "t=1.913973" is "p = 0.097188," and since "p=0.097188\\geq0.05=\\alpha," it is concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.Therefore, there is not enough evidence to claim that the population mean "\\mu" is different than 14 at the "\\alpha = 0.05" significance level.Thus, the machine is in good working order.
Method 2.
(i) Since the sample mean significantly greater than population mean, then we should make next hypothesis
"H_0:m=14"
"H_1:m>14" , where m - population mean
(ii) Since we have small sample size, then it is appropriate to use t-test
(iii) According to the form of alternative hypothesis, right-tailed test is appropriate, then
"P(T(n-1)>Cr)=1-a" , where T(n-1) - student's criteria with n-1 degrees of freedom, n - sample size, Cr - critical value a - level of significance
In the given case we have
"P(T(7)>Cr)=0.05\\implies Cr=1.895"
If our t-statistic will be greater than 1.895, then we should reject null hypothesis in favor of alternative
(iv) test statistic calculated the following way
"t={\\frac {x-a_0} s}*\\sqrt{n}"
"t={\\frac {x-a_0} s}*\\sqrt{n}" , where x - sample mean, "a_0" - population mean according to the null hypothesis? s - sample standard deviation, n - sample size
In our case we have
"t={\\frac {14.9-14} {1.33}}*\\sqrt{8}=1.914"
"t={\\frac {14.9-14} {1.33}}*\\sqrt{8}=1.914"
(v) We receive that t > Cr, then, according to the given data, we have enough statistical evidence to reject the null hypothesis on 95% significance level and conclude that population mean is greater than 14 mm.
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