a) On average 2.5 faulty reports are made to a company’s switchboard per day. i. Name the random variable present in this problem and state its distribution. [2] Calculate the probability that ii. FOUR faulty reports will be made on Monday [2] iii. Less than 3 faulty reports in a 5-day work week [4] b) The number of attempts at shooting goals made by a netballer in a tournament can be modelled by a binomial distribution with a probability of success equal to 0.35. (i) In a sample of 12 attempts at shooting goals, calculate the probability that EXACTLY 4 were successful. [4] (ii) Given that the netballer made a total of 120 attempts at shooting goals in a tournament, calculate the expected number of successful shoots. [2]
a)
i)
variable is the number of faulty report
Poisson distribution:
"P(x=k)=\\frac{\\lambda^ke^{-\\lambda}}{k!}"
mean "\\lambda=2.5" faulty reports per day
ii)
"P(x=4)=\\frac{2.5^4e^{-2.5}}{4!}=0.1336"
iii)
for a 5-day work week:
"\\lambda=2.5\\cdot 5=12.5"
"P(x<3)=P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)"
"P(x=0)=e^{-12.5}=3.7\\cdot 10^{-6}"
"P(x=1)=12.5e^{-12.5}=4.7\\cdot 10^{-5}"
"P(x=2)=\\frac{12.5^2e^{-12.5}}{2}=2.9\\cdot10^{-4}"
"P(x<3)=3.7\\cdot 10^{-6}+4.7\\cdot 10^{-5}+2.9\\cdot10^{-4}=3.407\\cdot10^{-4}"
b)
binomial distribution:
"P(x=k)=C^k_np^k(1-p)^{n-k}"
"p=0.35"
i)
"n=12"
"P(x=4)=C^4_{12}\\cdot 0.35^4\\cdot 0.65^8=0.2367"
ii)
"n=120"
the expected number of successful shoots:
"E(X)=np=120\\cdot0.35=42"
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