Question #205147

In a certain federal prison, it is known that 2/3 of the inmates are under 25 years of age. It is also known that 3/5 of the inmates are male and that 5/8 of the inmates are female or 25 years of age or older. What is the probability that a prisoner selected at random from this prison is female and at least 25 years old?


1
Expert's answer
2021-06-17T18:52:40-0400

Let

U- under 25

M- male

F-female

P(U)=23P(U)=\frac{2}{3}

P(M)=35P(M)=\frac{3}{5}

P(FU)=58P(F\cup\overline U)=\frac{5}{8}

P(FU)P(F\cap\overline U)

Let

P(MU)=xP(M\cap\overline U)=x

Then

P(MU)=P(M)P(MU)=35xP(M\cap{U})=P(M)-P(M\cap \overline U)=\frac{3}{5}-x

Similarly

P(FU)=P(U)P(MU)=2335+x=115+xP(F\cap U)=P(U)-P(M\cap U)=\frac{2}{3}-\frac{3}{5}+x=\frac{1}{15}+x

P(FU)=P(F)P(FU)P(F\cap\overline U)= P(F)-P(F\cap U)

=58x(115x)=671202x=\frac{5}{8}-x-(\frac{1}{15}-x-)=\frac{67}{120}-2x

Now

P(M)+P(F)=1P(M)+P(F)=1

35+58x=1\frac{3}{5}+\frac{5}{8}-x=1

Solving for x, we have,

x=940x=\frac{9}{40}

Thus,

P(FU)=671202(940)=13120P(F\cap\overline U)=\frac{67}{120}-2(\frac{9}{40})=\frac{13}{120}


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