Question #199047

A multiple choice quiz has 400 questions, each question with five possible answers of which one is correct answer. What is the probability that a sheer guess yields exactly 80 correct answers using normal approximation.  


1
Expert's answer
2021-05-27T11:55:28-0400

X X~~ bin(n, p)

where,

n= 400

p= 1/5 = 0.2

q = 1- p = 0.8


We can say that the sampling distribution of X can be approximately normal with :

mean = np=(400×0.2)=80np=(400\times 0.2)=80


Standard deviation sd=npq=400×0.2×0.8=8sd=\sqrt{npq}=\sqrt{400\times 0.2\times 0.8}=8


Now, the probability that a guesswork yields exactly 80 correct answers is :

=P(X=80)=P(79.5X80.5)=P(X=80)\\=P(79.5\leq X\leq 80.5)

0.0498\approx 0.0498 [TI84 function : normalcdf (79.5,80.5,80,8) ]



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