Question #186893

. From a box of a dozen rocket-propelled grenade (RPG), 4 are selected at random and fired. If the box contains 3 defective RPG’s, what is the probability that (a) all 4 will fire? (b) at most 2 will not fire?m


Expert's answer

Solution:

Given, n=4,p=912=34,q=14n=4,p=\frac9{12}=\frac34,q=\frac14

Here, p represents the success of RPG will fire.

X∼Bin(n,p)X\sim Bin(n,p)

(a): P(X=4)=4C4(34)4(14)0=0.3164P(X=4)=^4C_4(\frac3{4})^4(\frac1{4})^0=0.3164

(b): P(X≤2)=1−P(X>2)=1−[P(X=3)+P(X=4]P(X\le2)=1-P(X>2)=1-[P(X=3)+P(X=4]

=4C3(34)3(14)1+4C4(34)4(14)0=^4C_3(\frac3{4})^3(\frac1{4})^1+^4C_4(\frac3{4})^4(\frac1{4})^0

=0.7382=0.7382

Now, the probability that at most two will not fire=1−0.7382=0.2618=1-0.7382=0.2618


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