Question #168466

Three people are selected for a committee from 4 Democrats and 3 Republicans. What is the probability the committee contains both Democrats and Republicans given that it contains at least two Democrats?



1
Expert's answer
2021-03-05T01:07:50-0500

Out of 44 Democrats and 33 Republicans a committee of 33 people can be select in7C3^7C_3 ways.

Therefore sample space SS contain 7C3^7C_3 number of elements.

Let AA be an event such that at least two Democrats choose where committee contains both Democrats and Republicans.

Now out of 33 person at least 22 Democrats can be chosen such a way

(1) 2 Democrats 11 Republicans

(2) 3 Democrats

Therefore 22 Democrats and 11 Republicans can be choose in (4C2×3C1)(^4C_2×{^3C_1}) ways.

And 33 Democrats can be choose in 4C3^4C_3 ways.

So number of elements in favour of AA is [(4C2×3C1)+4C3]=22[(^4C_2×{^3C_1})+^4C_3]=22 .

P(A)=227C3=2235\therefore P(A)=\frac{22}{^7C_3}=\frac{22}{35}

Let BB be an event such that committee of both Democrats and Republicans.

This can be chosen in such a way

(1) 11 Democrat 22 Republicans

(2) 22 Democrats 11 Republican

First can be choose in (4C1×3C2)(^4C_1×{^3C_2}) ways and second can be choose in (4C2×3C1)(^4C_2×{^3C_1}) ways.

We have to find P(B/A)P(B/A) .

Now P(B/A)=P(BA)P(A)P(B/A)=\frac{P(B\cap A)}{P(A)}

Here number of elements in favour of (BA)(B\cap A) is (4C2×3C1)=18(^4C_2×{^3C_1})=18 .

P(BA)=187C3=1835\therefore P(B\cap A)=\frac{18}{^7C_3}=\frac{18}{35} .

Hence P(B/A)=P(BA)P(B)=18352235=1822=911P(B/A)=\frac{P(B\cap A)}{P(B)}=\frac{\frac{18}{35}}{\frac{22}{35}}=\frac{18}{22}=\frac{9}{11}.

Which is the required probability.



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