Question #160020

Question no 3: The average income of the residents of a particular community is your roll no *1000 and sd is your roll no *100:

What is the probability that income of a person, selected at random, is more than average income?

 What is the probability that income of a person, selected at random, is between average income and average income +2000?

What is the probability that income of a person, selected at random, is bbetween average income+1000 and average income +2000?

What is the probability that income of a person, selected at random, is less than average income +1000?


1
Expert's answer
2021-02-02T02:28:22-0500

It is nesessary to asume, that roll no is the number given by a professor or a class instructor to the client. I will provide the common solution, but with no numbers in the answer as it will be impossible. To calculate the answer as a number, please refer to the Standart Normal Table: https://www.ztable.net/


Roll no will be named as nn later in the solution


Solution:


In this case, we can assume that the distribution is normal with mean equal to 1000n1000n and standart deviation equal to 100n100n.


1) We need to calculate the following probability:


P{ξ>1000n}P\{\xi>1000n\}


Next, we will use the following transformation and Standart Normal Table:


P{x1ξx2}=P{(x1a)/σ(ξa)/σ(x2a)/σ}=P\{x_1\le\xi\le x_2\} = P\{(x_1-a)/\sigma \le (\xi-a)/\sigma \le (x_2-a)/\sigma\} =

=Φ((x2a)/σ)Φ((x1a)/σ)= \Phi((x_2-a)/\sigma) - \Phi((x_1-a)/\sigma)


a=1000n,a = 1000n, σ=100n=10n\sigma = \sqrt{100n} = 10\sqrt{n}


Upper boundary is going to be x2=+x_2 = +\infin, Φ(+)=1\Phi(+\infin) = 1(adding or subtracting or divising will yeld no result), then let us calculate the lower boundary, or x1=1000nx_1 = 1000n:


Φ((1000n1000n)/σ)=Φ(0)=0.5\Phi((1000n-1000n)/\sigma) = \Phi(0) = 0.5


Finally, subtracting, we will get the answer:


10.5=0.51 - 0.5 = 0.5


2) We need to find the probability that income of a person is between average and average + 2000. It can be represented as:


P(E(ξ)ξE(ξ)+2000)=P(1000nξ1000n+2000)P(E(\xi)\le\xi\le E(\xi) + 2000) = P(1000n\leq \xi \le 1000n+2000)


Using the transformation from 1):


P(1000nξ1000n+2000)=Φ((1000n+20001000n)/(10n))P(1000n\leq \xi \le 1000n+2000) = \Phi((1000n + 2000 - 1000n)/(10\sqrt n)) -

Φ((1000n1000n)/(10n))=Φ(2000/(10n))Φ(0)=- \Phi((1000n-1000n)/(10\sqrt n)) = \Phi(2000/(10\sqrt n)) - \Phi(0) =

=Φ(2000/(10n))0.5= \Phi(2000/(10\sqrt n)) - 0.5


3) Following the same procedure as in 2) but for the different interval:


P{1000n+1000ξ1000n+2000}=Φ((1000n+20001000n)/(10n))P\{1000n +1000 \le \xi \le 1000n + 2000\} = \Phi((1000n + 2000 - 1000n)/(10\sqrt n)) -

Φ((1000n+1000)/10n)=Φ(2000/(10n))Φ(1000/(10n))\Phi((1000n + 1000)/10\sqrt n) = \Phi(2000/(10\sqrt n)) - \Phi(1000/ (10\sqrt n))


4) Now we need to calculate the following probability:


P(ξ<1000n+1000)P(\xi < 1000n + 1000), for transformation lower boundary will be - \infin, Φ()=0\Phi(-\infin) = 0

So, the result will be:


Φ((1000n+10001000n)/(10n))=Φ(1000/(10n))\Phi((1000n+1000-1000n)/(10\sqrt n)) = \Phi(1000/(10\sqrt n))


Answer:

1) 0.5

2) Φ(2000/(10n))0.5\Phi(2000/(10\sqrt n)) - 0.5

3) Φ(2000/(10n))Φ(1000/(10n))\Phi(2000/(10\sqrt n)) - \Phi(1000/ (10\sqrt n))

4) Φ(1000/(10n))\Phi(1000/ (10\sqrt n))


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