One of the issues that came up in a recent national
election (and is likely to arise in many future elections)
is how to deal with a sluggish economy.
Specifically, should governments cut spending, raise
taxes, inflate the economy (by printing more money)
or do none of the above and let the deficit rise? And
as with most other issues, politicians need to know
which parts of the electorate support these options.
Suppose that a random sample of 1,000 people
was asked which option they support and their political affiliations. The possible responses to the
question about political affiliation were Democrat,
Republican, and Independent (which included a variety
of political persuasions). The responses are summarized
in the accompanying table. Do these results
allow us to conclude at the 1% significance level that
political affiliation affects support for the economic
options?
Economic
Options
Political Affiliation
Democrat Republican Independent
Cut spending 101 282 61
Raise taxes 38 67 25
Inflate the
economy 131 88 31
Let deficit
increase 61 90 25
The given information:
The claim is that whether the political affiliation affects support for the economic options.
From this information the null and alternative hypotheses are given by
H0: The political affiliation affects does not support for the economic options.
H1: The political affiliation affects support for the economic options.
The level of significance α=0.01
The test statistic for testing null hypothesis is
"\u03c7^2 = \\sum^{k}_{i=1}\\frac{(f_i-e_i)^2}{e_i}"
k = the number of cells in the cross-classification table
ei = the expected frequencies
fi = observed frequencies
Using MINITAB, we conduct the above test of null hypothesis against the alternative hypothesis in following steps.
1) Type the observed frequencies into adjacent columns.
2) Click Stat, Tables, and Chi-Square (Table in Worksheet)…
3) Select or type the names of the variables representing the columns.
We get the following output:
From the above results we get
The test statistic χ2 = 70.675
The P-value is 0.000
Here we observe that, the P-value is less than the level of the significance 0.05, so we have to reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, we conclude that there is sufficient evidence to infer that the political affiliation affects support for the economic options.
Comments
Leave a comment