Question #151679

A shipment of 15 similar microcomputers to a retail outlet contains 5
that are defective. If a school makes a random purchase of 4 of these
computers, find the probability distribution and the expectation for the
number of defective items.

Expert's answer

Let X=X= the number of defective computers purchased. 

There are 15−5=1015-5=10  working microcomputers.

There are 15C4=(154)=15!4!(15−4)!=15(14)(13)(12)1(2)(3)(4)=1365^{15}C_4=\dbinom{15}{4}=\dfrac{15!}{4!(15-4)!}=\dfrac{15(14)(13)(12)}{1(2)(3)(4)}=1365 ways to select 4 computers.


P(X=0)=5C0⋅10C415C4=1⋅2101365=213P(X=0)=\dfrac{^{5}C_0\cdot^{10}C_4}{^{15}C_4}=\dfrac{1\cdot210}{1365}=\dfrac{2}{13}

P(X=1)=5C1⋅10C315C4=5⋅2101365=4091P(X=1)=\dfrac{^{5}C_1\cdot^{10}C_3}{^{15}C_4}=\dfrac{5\cdot210}{1365}=\dfrac{40}{91}


P(X=2)=5C2⋅10C215C4=10⋅451365=3091P(X=2)=\dfrac{^{5}C_2\cdot^{10}C_2}{^{15}C_4}=\dfrac{10\cdot45}{1365}=\dfrac{30}{91}

P(X=3)=5C3⋅10C115C4=10⋅101365=20273P(X=3)=\dfrac{^{5}C_3\cdot^{10}C_1}{^{15}C_4}=\dfrac{10\cdot10}{1365}=\dfrac{20}{273}

P(X=4)=5C4⋅10C015C4=5⋅11365=1273P(X=4)=\dfrac{^{5}C_4\cdot^{10}C_0}{^{15}C_4}=\dfrac{5\cdot1}{1365}=\dfrac{1}{273}

Check


213+4091+3091+20273+1273=1\dfrac{2}{13}+\dfrac{40}{91}+\dfrac{30}{91}+\dfrac{20}{273}+\dfrac{1}{273}=1

x01234p(x)21340913091202731273\begin{matrix} x & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ \\ p(x) & \dfrac{2}{13} & \dfrac{40}{91} & \dfrac{30}{91} & \dfrac{20}{273} & \dfrac{1}{273} \end{matrix}


E(X)=0⋅213+1⋅4091+2⋅3091+3⋅20273E(X)=0\cdot\dfrac{2}{13}+1\cdot\dfrac{40}{91}+2\cdot\dfrac{30}{91}+3\cdot\dfrac{20}{273}

+4⋅1273=43+4\cdot\dfrac{1}{273}=\dfrac{4}{3}

E(X)=43E(X)=\dfrac{4}{3}


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