Let X1, X2, ..., Xn be a random sample from a normal population with mean zero and variance sigma^2. Construct an unbiased estimator of sigma as a function of Summation i=1 to n (Xi)
X¯ is an unbiased estimator. The MSE of X¯ is MSEX¯ = E(X¯ − µ) 2 = V ar(X¯) = σ2/ n
Similarly, as we showed above, E(S2 ) = σ2 ,
S2 is an unbiased estimator for σ2
MSE of S2 is given by
MSES2 = E(S 2 − σ 2 ) = V ar(S2 ) = (2σ4)/(n − 1)
Although many unbiased estimators are also reasonable from the standpoint of MSE, be aware that controlling bias does not guarantee that MSE is controlled. In particular, it is sometimes the case that a trade-off occurs between variance and bias in such a way that a small increase in bias can be traded for a larger decrease in variance, resulting in an improvement in MSE.
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