Question #111174
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Expert's answer
2020-04-23T18:57:43-0400

X=life time of the a relationship for couple.

μ=5monthsλ=1μ=15=0.2Xexp(0.2)\mu=5months\\ \lambda=\frac{1}{\mu}=\frac{1}{5}=0.2\\ X\thicksim exp(0.2)

f(x)={0.2e(0.2x)if x00if x<0f(x)= \begin{cases} 0.2e^{(-0.2x)} &\text{if } x\ge0 \\ 0 &\text{if } x<0 \end{cases}

and

F(x)={1e(0.2x)if x00if x<0F(x)= \begin{cases} 1-e^{(-0.2x)} &\text{if } x\ge0 \\ 0 &\text{if } x<0 \end{cases}


i)

P(X>12)=1P(X12)P(X>12)=1F(12)P(X>12)=1(1e(0.212))P(X>12)=0.0907P(X>12)=1-P(X\le12)\\ P(X>12)=1-F(12)\\ P(X>12)=1-(1-e^{(0.2*12)})\\ P(X>12)=0.0907

Probability that a couple in hong kong can last longer that 1 year =0.0907


ii)Median of a exponential distribution is given by,

median=ln(2)λmedian=ln(2)0.2median=3.4657median=\frac{ln(2)}{\lambda}\\ median=\frac{ln(2)}{0.2}\\ \bold{median=3.4657}


iii) Probability(P1) that a couple in hong kong can last longer that 1 year =0.0907

Probability(P)that exact three out of eight couples in hong kong can last longer than 1 year,

P=(83)P13(1P1)83P=3!8!5!0.09073(10.0907)5P=5.75181010P=\binom{8}{3} P_1^3(1-P_1)^{8-3}\\ P=\frac{3!}{8!5!}*0.0907^3*(1-0.0907)^5\\ P=5.7518*10^{-10}

Probability that exact three out of eight couples in hong kong can last longer than 1 year=5.75181010\bold{5.7518*10^{-10}}



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