Question #111173
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Expert's answer
2020-04-27T18:29:51-0400

We need to construct the 98% confidence interval for the population proportion. 

The sample proportion is computed as follows, based on the sample size N=200N=200 and the number of favorable cases X=144:X=144:


p^=XN=144200=0.72\hat{p}={X \over N}={144 \over 200}=0.72

The critical value for α=0.02\alpha=0.02 is zc=z1α/2=2.326.z_c=z_{1-\alpha/2}=2.326. The corresponding confidence interval is computed as shown below:


CI(Proportion)=CI(Proportion)=

=(p^zcp^(1p^)N,p^+zcp^(1p^)N)==\big(\hat{p}-z_c\sqrt{{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p}) \over N}},\hat{p}+z_c\sqrt{{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p}) \over N}}\big)=

=(0.722.3260.72(10.72)200,0.72+2.3260.72(10.72)200)=\big(0.72-2.326\sqrt{{0.72(1-0.72) \over 200}},0.72+2.326\sqrt{{0.72(1-0.72) \over 200}}\big)\approx

(0.646,0.794)\approx(0.646,0.794)

Therefore, based on the data provided, the 98% confidence interval for the population proportion is 0.646<p<0.794,0.646<p<0.794, which indicates that we are 98% confident that the true population proportion pp  is contained by the interval (0.646,0.794).(0.646,0.794).


b) The critical value for α=0.05\alpha=0.05 is zc=z1α/2=1.96.z_c=z_{1-\alpha/2}=1.96.


E=zcp^(1p^)N0.05E=z_c\sqrt{{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p}) \over N}}\leq0.05

0.72(10.72)N(0.051.96)2{0.72(1-0.72) \over N}\leq({0.05 \over 1.96})^2

N0.72(10.72)(1.96)2(0.05)2N\geq{0.72(1-0.72)(1.96)^2 \over (0.05)^2}

N310N\geq310


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