Answer to Question #107175 in Statistics and Probability for jasmine

Question #107175
Suppose in a random sample of 750 people, 135 of them smoke regularly. Find the 94% confidence interval for the population proportion of smokers. Interpret this interval.
1
Expert's answer
2020-03-31T15:28:16-0400

We need to construct the 94% confidence interval for the population proportion. We have been provided with the following information about the number of favorable cases:

Favorable classes X=135X=135

Sample size N=750N=750

The sample proportion is computed as follows, based on the sample size N=750N=750 and the number of favorable cases X=135:X=135:


p^=XN=135750=0.18\hat{p}={X \over N}={135 \over 750}=0.18

The critical value for α=0.06\alpha=0.06 is zc=z1α/2=1.881.z_c=z_{1-\alpha/2}=1.881. The corresponding confidence interval is computed as shown below:


CI(Proportion)=(p^zcp^(1p^)N,p^+zcp^(1p^)N)=CI(Proportion)=\\\big(\hat{p}-z_c\sqrt{{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p}) \over N}}, \hat{p}+z_c\sqrt{{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p}) \over N}}\big)=

=(0.181.8810.18(10.18)750,0.18+1.8810.18(10.18)750)==\big(0.18-1.881\sqrt{{0.18(1-0.18) \over 750}}, 0.18+1.881\sqrt{{0.18(1-0.18) \over 750}}\big)=

=(0.1536,0.2064)=(0.1536,0.2064)

Therefore, based on the data provided, the 94% confidence interval for the population proportion is (0.1536,0.2064),(0.1536,0.2064), which indicates that we are 94% confident that the true population proportion pp lies in the interval (0.1536,0.2064).(0.1536,0.2064).



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