Answer to Question #302751 in English for Rasel alburo

Question

Analyze the article of mr. Andrew winatone about megatrends in the next ten years.how Will you contribute to sustain its positive effects and how will you counter its advance effects.

Answer 1

I'm more of a "presentist," looking at the facts we have now on fast-moving megatrends that impact the world today, rather than a futurist. However, a client requested that I construct a vision of 2030 based on the major trends. And I believe we have a good idea of where we might be in 11 years.

The paths we take and the decisions we make will have far-reaching consequences for our lives, professions, businesses, and the rest of the world. Here are his forecasts for nine key themes until 2030.

Demographics: There will be an additional 1 billion people on the planet, and we will live longer lives. By 2030, the world's population will have grown to 8.5 billion people, up from 7.3 billion in 2015. The elderly will be the fastest-growing group, with the population of those over 65 years old expected to reach 1 billion by 2030. As the fraction of residents living in extreme poverty continues to decline, the majority of those new billion will be in the middle class economically (a rare sustainability win). Even if the middle class grows, the proportion of new money going to the top of the pyramid will remain a substantial, and potentially destabilizing, concern. Other megatrends, like climate change, could, however, slow or change the conclusion in this case.

Urbanization: Two-thirds of the population will reside in cities. Our population will become more urbanized, resulting in more megacities as well as small and medium-sized metropolises. A growing cost of living in the most desirable places will act as a countervailing force. More large structures with better management technology (big data and AI that make buildings much more efficient) will be required, as will more food transported from where it is grown to where it is consumed or quick expansion of urban agriculture.

Climate Crisis: The climate will continue to change rapidly, with regular, extreme weather occurring in all parts of the world. Yes, there is still ambiguity about how things will play out, but there is little doubt that the climate is rapidly and dangerously altering. The presence of significant inertia in both the atmospheric and economic/human systems allows for a more accurate prediction of what will happen in just 11 years. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has stated how vital it is to drastically change carbon emissions in order to keep global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. However, with present levels of commitment in global governments, this is unlikely to happen: In theory, the key Paris climate agreement of 2015 pledges to limit global warming to 2 degrees Celsius.

Populism: The growth of nationalism and radicalism may or may not accelerate... Even less clear than policy is the public's support, or lack thereof, for certain governing philosophies. In countries as diverse as the United States, Brazil, and Hungary, populists have been elected or solidified power in recent years. Yet, in recent weeks, individuals in Turkey, Algeria, and Sudan have demonstrated their opposition to dictatorship.