Question #262577

Natalie entered a raffle recently and never checked her tickets. She has recently learned the exact number of the other unchecked tickets. Based on this information she knows that there is a 40% chance that she has won the raffle prize of $1,600. If she does not win the raffle her wealth will be zero. Natalie has a von Neumann–Morgenstern utility such that she wants to maximize the expected value of √c, where 𝑐 is total wealth.


What is the minimum price for which Natalie would sell her raffle tickets?  


1
Expert's answer
2021-11-09T17:52:51-0500

Here the wealth she won as a raffle prize=4900

expected utility =4900=70=\sqrt{4900}=70

Also if she wouldn't win, the she would loose all her wealth

EU=0\therefore EU=0

so, expected utility =10100×4900=7=\frac{10}{100}\times \sqrt4900=7

And at price p, if she sells the ticket, her expected utility =p=\sqrt p

so, if she sells he that raffle ticket:-

hence, condition p7 p49\sqrt p\ge7\space \therefore p\ge49

so minimum price =$49


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