If the marginal cost of the follower, firm F, is equal to 3 with probability 0.25, and to 7 with probability 0.75, then the expected marginal cost is "MC = 3*0.25 + 7*0.75 = 6," so the total cost TCF = 6yF.
First, we should find the follower's reaction function.
The total profit equation of the follower is:
"TPF = TRF - TCF = (100 - 2yL - 2yF)*yF - 6yF = 94yF - 2yL*yF - 2yF^2,"
"TPF'(yF) = 0," so:
"(94yF - 2yL*yF - 2yF^2)' = 0,"
"94 - 2yL - 4yF = 0,"
"yF = 23.5 - 0.5yL."
The total profit equation of the leader is:
"TPF = TRF - TCF = (100 - 2yL - 2yF)*yL - 0 = 100yL - 2yL^2 - 2yL*(23.5 - 0.5yL) = 53yL - yL^2,"
"TPF'(yL) = 0," so:
"53 - 2yL = 0,"
"yL = 26.5" units,
"yF = 23.5 - 0.5*26.5 = 10.25" units.
"p = 100 - 2*26.5 - 2*10.25 = 26.5."
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