If the marginal cost of the follower, firm F, is equal to 3 with probability 0.25, and to 7 with probability 0.75, then the expected marginal cost is MC=3∗0.25+7∗0.75=6, so the total cost TCF = 6yF.
First, we should find the follower's reaction function.
The total profit equation of the follower is:
TPF=TRF−TCF=(100−2yL−2yF)∗yF−6yF=94yF−2yL∗yF−2yF2,
TPF′(yF)=0,so:
(94yF−2yL∗yF−2yF2)′=0,
94−2yL−4yF=0,
yF=23.5−0.5yL.
The total profit equation of the leader is:
TPF=TRF−TCF=(100−2yL−2yF)∗yL−0=100yL−2yL2−2yL∗(23.5−0.5yL)=53yL−yL2,
TPF′(yL)=0,so:
53−2yL=0,
yL=26.5 units,
yF=23.5−0.5∗26.5=10.25 units.
p=100−2∗26.5−2∗10.25=26.5.
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