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2. The campaign manager for a congressional candidate claims that the candidate has more than 50% support from the district’s electorate. A newspaper collects a simple random sample of 500 likely voters in this district and estimates the support for this candidate to be 52%. The p-value for the hypothesis test evaluating the campaign manager’s claim is 0.19. Which of the below is correct? A. The success-failure condition is not met, so this p-value is not reliable. B. 95% of random samples of size 500 will estimate the support for this candidate to be 52%. C. If in fact 50% of likely voters support this candidate, the probability of obtaining a random sample of 500 likely voters where 52% or more support the candidate is 0.19. D. The data provide convincing evidence for the campaign manager’s claim.
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