Question #97672
Ace Heating and Air Conditioning Service finds that the amount of time a repairman needs to fix a furnace is uniformly distributed between 1.5 and four hours. Let x = the time needed to fix a furnace. Then x ~ U (1.5, 4).
a) Find the 30th percentile of furnace repair times.
1
Expert's answer
2019-10-31T06:49:33-0400

Let XX be the time needed to fix a furnace and XU(1.5,4)X \sim U(1.5,4) with probability density (b=4b=4 and a=1.5a=1.5 )


pX(x)={1ba,a<x<b0,otherwise{p_X}(x) = \begin{cases} \frac{1}{{b - a}}, & a < x < b \\ 0, & \text{otherwise}\end{cases}

Then let's find the distribution function as FX(x)=xpX(ξ)dξ{F_X}(x) = \int\limits_{ - \infty }^x {{p_X}(\xi )d\xi }

At the interval (,a)( - \infty ,a) we have FX(x)=x0dξ=0{F_X}(x) = \int\limits_{ - \infty }^x {0 \cdot d\xi } = 0

At the interval (a,b)(a,b) we have FX(x)=ax1badξ=ξbaax=xaba{F_X}(x) = \int\limits_a^x {\frac{1}{{b - a}} \cdot d\xi } = \left. {\frac{\xi }{{b - a}}} \right|_a^x = \frac{{x - a}}{{b - a}}

At the interval (b,+)(b, + \infty ) we have FX(x)=xabax=b+x+0dξ=1{F_X}(x) = {\left. {\frac{{x - a}}{{b - a}}} \right|_{x = b}} + \int\limits_x^{ + \infty } {0 \cdot d\xi } = 1

Thus, it has the form


FX(x)={0,x<axaba,a<x<b1x>b{F_X}(x) = \begin{cases} 0, & x<a \\ {\frac{{x - a}}{{b - a}}}, & a<x<b \\1 & x>b \end{cases}

(We can use strict or non strict inequalities, it does not matter because XX is continuous random variable).

We were asked to find such value q0.3{q_{0.3}} that F(q0.3)=0.3F({q_{0.3}}) = 0.3. We have


q0.31.541.5=0.3\frac{{{q_{0.3}} - 1.5}}{{4 - 1.5}} = 0.3

Thus

q0.31.5=0.75{q_{0.3}} - 1.5 = 0.75

and the final answer is


q0.3=2.25{q_{0.3}} = 2.25



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