Question #83675

The probability that a patient recovers from a delicate heart operation is 0.9. What is the probability that exactly 5 of the next 7 patients having this operation survive?

Expert's answer

Answer on Question #83675 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

The probability that a patient recovers from a delicate heart operation is 0.9. What is the probability that exactly 5 of the next 7 patients having this operation survive?

Solution

The probability that exactly kk of the next nn patients having this operation survive is equal to


Pn(k)=n!k!(nk)!pk(1p)nk,P_n(k) = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} p^k (1-p)^{n-k},


where pp is the probability that a patient recovers from a delicate heart operation.

In our problem n=7,k=5,p=0.9n = 7, k = 5, p = 0.9.

Thus,


P7(5)=7!5!(75)!0.95(10.9)75=7!5!2!0.950.12=0.1240029P_7(5) = \frac{7!}{5!*(7-5)!} * 0.9^5 * (1 - 0.9)^{7-5} = \frac{7!}{5!*2!} * 0.9^5 * 0.1^2 = 0.1240029


Answer:

The probability that exactly 5 of the next 7 patients having this operation survive is equal to 0.1240029.

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