Question #81477

three types of bulbs A,B,C are purchased in an electric company ,due to thier lives bulb A is twice as likely to be purchased as B, and blub B is twice as likely to be purchased as C. A bulb is chosen at random what is probability blub is A or B.

Expert's answer

Answer on Question #81477 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

Three types of bulbs A,B,CA, B, C are purchased in an electric company, due to their lives bulb AA is twice as likely to be purchased as BB, and bulb BB is twice as likely to be purchased as CC. A bulb is chosen at random what is probability bulb is AA or BB.

Solution


P(A)=2P(B),P(B)=2P(C)P(A)+P(B)+P(C)=12(2P(C))+2P(C)+P(C)=1P(C)=17\begin{array}{l} P(A) = 2P(B), P(B) = 2P(C) \\ P(A) + P(B) + P(C) = 1 \\ 2(2P(C)) + 2P(C) + P(C) = 1 \\ P(C) = \frac{1}{7} \\ \end{array}P(A∪B)=P(C‾)=1−P(C)=1−17=67P(A \cup B) = P(\overline{C}) = 1 - P(C) = 1 - \frac{1}{7} = \frac{6}{7}


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