Question #80742

The staff car park at the hospital has 330 spaces, and parking is restricted to permit holders. Data collected earlier indicate that only 85% of the permit holders will be at the hospital on a given day. As a result, the hospital has decided to issue 380 permits. Calculate the probability that, on a given day, at least one of the permit holders will not obtain a parking space in this car park.

Expert's answer

Answer on Question #80742 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

The staff car park at the hospital has 330 spaces, and parking is restricted to permit holders. Data collected earlier indicate that only 85% of the permit holders will be at the hospital on a given day. As a result, the hospital has decided to issue 380 permits. Calculate the probability that, on a given day, at least one of the permit holders will not obtain a parking space in this car park.

Solution

P=0.85

N₂=380

N₁=330+1=331


P(331X380)=P(3313800.853800.85(10.85)Z3803800.853800.85(10.85))==P(86.96Z576.96)=P(1.15Z8.19)=0.49990.3749=0.125\begin{array}{l} P(331 \leq X \leq 380) = P\left(\frac{331 - 380 \cdot 0.85}{\sqrt{380 \cdot 0.85(1 - 0.85)}} \leq Z \leq \frac{380 - 380 \cdot 0.85}{\sqrt{380 \cdot 0.85(1 - 0.85)}}\right) = \\ = P\left(\frac{8}{6.96} \leq Z \leq \frac{57}{6.96}\right) = P(1.15 \leq Z \leq 8.19) = 0.4999 - 0.3749 = 0.125 \end{array}


Answer:

The probability that on a given day, at least one of the permit holders will not obtain a parking space in this car park is 0.125.

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