Question #70948

A and B play 12 games of chess, of which 6 are won by A, 4 are won by B, and 2 end in a draw. They agree to play a match consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that
a) A wins all 3 games
b) 2 games end in a draw
c) A and B win alternately
d) B wins at least 1 game.
1

Expert's answer

2017-11-14T14:07:07-0500

Answer on Question #70948 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

A and B play 12 games of chess, of which 6 are won by A, 4 are won by B, and 2 end in a draw. They agree to play a match consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that

a) A wins all 3 games

b) 2 games end in a draw

c) A and B win alternately

d) B wins at least 1 game.

Solution

a) Binomial probability with n=3n = 3, p=612=12p = \frac{6}{12} = \frac{1}{2}.


P(X=3)=C33(12)3=18=0.125.P(X = 3) = C_3^3 \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 = \frac{1}{8} = 0.125.


b) Binomial probability with n=3n = 3, p=212=16p = \frac{2}{12} = \frac{1}{6}.


P(X=2)=C32(16)2(56)=5120.4167.P(X = 2) = C_3^2 \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^2 \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) = \frac{5}{12} \approx 0.4167.


c) P=121312+131213=112+118=5360.1389.P = \frac{1}{2} * \frac{1}{3} * \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{3} * \frac{1}{2} * \frac{1}{3} = \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{18} = \frac{5}{36} \approx 0.1389.

d) Binomial probability with n=3n = 3, p=412=13p = \frac{4}{12} = \frac{1}{3}.


P(X1)=1P(X=0)=1C30(13)0(23)3=0.7037.P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - C_3^0 \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^0 \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^3 = 0.7037.


Answer: a) 0.125; b) 0.4167; c) 0.1389; d) 0.7037.

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