Question #68050

If x is a normal variable with the mean u=5 and variance (sigma square)=16, what is the probability that x is less than or equal to 6?
1

Expert's answer

2017-05-10T14:22:09-0400

Answer on Question #68050 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

If XX is a normal variable with the mean μ=5\mu = 5 and variance (σ2)=16(\sigma^2) = 16, what is the probability that XX is less than or equal to 6?

Solution

First of all, note that if σ2=16\sigma^2 = 16 then σ=4\sigma = 4. Further, if XX is a normal variable then


Y=Xμσ=X54Y = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{X - 5}{4}


is a normal variable with mean 0 and variance (and standard deviation) 1

(see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution). The required probability is


P{X6}=P{X54654}=P{Y0.25}.P\{X \leq 6\} = P\left\{\frac{X - 5}{4} \leq \frac{6 - 5}{4}\right\} = P\{Y \leq 0.25\}.


Due to the symmetry of the distribution of P{Y0}=0.5P\{Y \leq 0\} = 0.5. Then P{Y0.25}=P{Y0}+P{0<Y0.25}=0.5+P{0<Y0.25}P\{Y \leq 0.25\} = P\{Y \leq 0\} + P\{0 < Y \leq 0.25\} = 0.5 + P\{0 < Y \leq 0.25\}. The last probability we can find from the Standard Normal Distribution table (see https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-normal-distribution-table.html): P{0<Y0.25}=0.0987P\{0 < Y \leq 0.25\} = 0.0987. Then P{Y0.25}=0.5+0.0987=0.5987P\{Y \leq 0.25\} = 0.5 + 0.0987 = 0.5987.

Answer: 0.5987.

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