Answer on Question #67085 – Math – Statistics and Probability
Question
If P(A)=0.50, P(B)=0.40 and P(A∪B)=0.70, find P(A∣B) and P(A B), c∪ where c A is the complement of A. State whether A and B are independent. Justify your answer.
Solution
By the addition law of probability,
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B).
Hence
P(A∩B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∪B)=0.5+0.4−0.7=0.2.
By the definition of conditional probability,
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=0.40.2=0.5.
From the statement of the question it is not clear what should be found further. I shall find probabilities of some possible events.
By the complementary rule,
P((A∪B)c)=1−P(A∪B)=1−0.7=0.3;P((A∩B)c)=1−P(A∩B)=1−0.2=0.8.
We recall that events A and B are independent if
P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B).
In this case P(A∩B)=0.2 and P(A)P(B)=0.5⋅0.4=0.2.
Therefore, P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B), hence events A and B are independent.
**Answer**: P(A∣B)=0.5; P((A∪B)c)=0.3; P((A∩B)c)=0.8; events A and B are independent.
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