Question #67085

If P(A) = 0⋅50, P(B) = 0⋅ 40 and P(A ∪ B) = 0⋅70,find P(A | B) and
P(A B), c ∪ where c A is the complement of A. State whether A and B are
independent. Justify your answer.
1

Expert's answer

2017-04-04T03:28:07-0400

Answer on Question #67085 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

If P(A)=0.50P(A) = 0.50, P(B)=0.40P(B) = 0.40 and P(AB)=0.70P(A \cup B) = 0.70, find P(AB)P(A \mid B) and P(A B)P(A \ B), cc \cup where c Ac \ A is the complement of A. State whether A and B are independent. Justify your answer.

Solution

By the addition law of probability,


P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB).P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B).


Hence


P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)=0.5+0.40.7=0.2.P(A \cap B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cup B) = 0.5 + 0.4 - 0.7 = 0.2.


By the definition of conditional probability,


P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)=0.20.4=0.5.P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \frac{0.2}{0.4} = 0.5.


From the statement of the question it is not clear what should be found further. I shall find probabilities of some possible events.

By the complementary rule,


P((AB)c)=1P(AB)=10.7=0.3;P((A \cup B)^c) = 1 - P(A \cup B) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3;P((AB)c)=1P(AB)=10.2=0.8.P((A \cap B)^c) = 1 - P(A \cap B) = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8.


We recall that events AA and BB are independent if


P(AB)=P(A)P(B).P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B).


In this case P(AB)=0.2P(A \cap B) = 0.2 and P(A)P(B)=0.50.4=0.2P(A)P(B) = 0.5 \cdot 0.4 = 0.2.

Therefore, P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B), hence events AA and BB are independent.

**Answer**: P(AB)=0.5P(A \mid B) = 0.5; P((AB)c)=0.3P((A \cup B)^c) = 0.3; P((AB)c)=0.8P((A \cap B)^c) = 0.8; events AA and BB are independent.

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