Answer on Question #63548 – Math – Statistics and Probability
The exponential distribution with rate parameter μ > 0 \mu > 0 μ > 0 is a continuous distribution on [ 0 , ∞ ) [0, \infty) [ 0 , ∞ ) with density
f ( t ) = μ exp ( − μ t ) , t > 0 f(t) = \mu \exp(-\mu t), \quad t > 0 f ( t ) = μ exp ( − μ t ) , t > 0 Question
1. Compute the cumulative distribution function defined by F ( t ) : = P ( X ∈ [ 0 , t ] ) F(t) := P(X \in [0, t]) F ( t ) := P ( X ∈ [ 0 , t ]) .
Solution
The cdf is
F ( t ) = P ( X ≤ t ) = ∫ − ∞ t f ( t ) d t = { 1 − e ( − μ t ) , t ≥ 0 0 , t < 0 F(t) = P(X \leq t) = \int_{-\infty}^{t} f(t) \, dt = \begin{cases} 1 - e^{(-\mu t)}, & t \geq 0 \\ 0, & t < 0 \end{cases} F ( t ) = P ( X ≤ t ) = ∫ − ∞ t f ( t ) d t = { 1 − e ( − μ t ) , 0 , t ≥ 0 t < 0
Answer: F ( t ) = { 1 − e ( − μ t ) , t ≥ 0 0 , t < 0 F(t) = \begin{cases} 1 - e^{(-\mu t)}, & t \geq 0 \\ 0, & t < 0 \end{cases} F ( t ) = { 1 − e ( − μ t ) , 0 , t ≥ 0 t < 0
Question
2. Compute P ( s < X ≤ t ) P(s < X \leq t) P ( s < X ≤ t ) .
Solution
P ( s < X ≤ t ) = P ( X ≤ t ) − P ( X ≤ s ) = 1 − e − μ t − ( 1 − e − μ s ) = e − μ s − e − μ t . P(s < X \leq t) = P(X \leq t) - P(X \leq s) = 1 - e^{-\mu t} - (1 - e^{-\mu s}) = e^{-\mu s} - e^{-\mu t}. P ( s < X ≤ t ) = P ( X ≤ t ) − P ( X ≤ s ) = 1 − e − μ t − ( 1 − e − μ s ) = e − μ s − e − μ t . P ( s < X ≤ t ) = ∫ s t f ( t ) d t = ∫ s t μ e ( − μ t ) d t = − e ( − μ t ) ∣ { t s = e − μ s − e − μ t . P(s < X \leq t) = \int_{s}^{t} f(t) \, dt = \int_{s}^{t} \mu e^{(-\mu t)} \, dt = -e^{(-\mu t)} \Big| \begin{cases} t \\ s \end{cases} = e^{-\mu s} - e^{-\mu t}. P ( s < X ≤ t ) = ∫ s t f ( t ) d t = ∫ s t μ e ( − μ t ) d t = − e ( − μ t ) ∣ ∣ { t s = e − μ s − e − μ t .
Answer: P ( s < X ≤ t ) = e − μ s − e − μ t P(s < X \leq t) = e^{-\mu s} - e^{-\mu t} P ( s < X ≤ t ) = e − μ s − e − μ t .
Question
3. Find P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 2 ] ∪ [ 3 , 4 ] ) P(X \in [1, 2] \cup [3, 4]) P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 2 ] ∪ [ 3 , 4 ]) .
Solution
P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 2 ] ∪ [ 3 , 4 ] ) = P ( X ≤ 2 ) − P ( X ≤ 1 ) + P ( X ≤ 4 ) − P ( X ≤ 3 ) = = 1 − e − 2 μ − ( 1 − e − μ ) + 1 − e − 4 μ − ( 1 − e − 3 μ ) = e − μ + e − 3 μ − e − 2 μ − e − 4 μ = = e 3 μ − e 2 μ + e μ − 1 e 4 μ = ( e μ − 1 ) ( e 2 μ + 1 ) e 4 μ P(X \in [1, 2] \cup [3, 4]) = P(X \leq 2) - P(X \leq 1) + P(X \leq 4) - P(X \leq 3) = \\
= 1 - e^{-2\mu} - (1 - e^{-\mu}) + 1 - e^{-4\mu} - (1 - e^{-3\mu}) = e^{-\mu} + e^{-3\mu} - e^{-2\mu} - e^{-4\mu} = \\
= \frac{e^{3\mu} - e^{2\mu} + e^{\mu} - 1}{e^{4\mu}} = \frac{(e^{\mu} - 1)(e^{2\mu} + 1)}{e^{4\mu}} P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 2 ] ∪ [ 3 , 4 ]) = P ( X ≤ 2 ) − P ( X ≤ 1 ) + P ( X ≤ 4 ) − P ( X ≤ 3 ) = = 1 − e − 2 μ − ( 1 − e − μ ) + 1 − e − 4 μ − ( 1 − e − 3 μ ) = e − μ + e − 3 μ − e − 2 μ − e − 4 μ = = e 4 μ e 3 μ − e 2 μ + e μ − 1 = e 4 μ ( e μ − 1 ) ( e 2 μ + 1 )
Answer: ( e μ − 1 ) ( e 2 μ + 1 ) e 4 μ \frac{(e^{\mu} - 1)(e^{2\mu} + 1)}{e^{4\mu}} e 4 μ ( e μ − 1 ) ( e 2 μ + 1 ) .
Question
4. Compute the conditional probability P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ] ∣ X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ] ) \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{X} \in [3, 4] \mid \mathrm{X} \in [1, 4]) P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ] ∣ X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ]) .
Solution
P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ] ∣ X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ] ) = P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ] and X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ] ) P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ] ) = P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ] ) P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ] ) = = P ( X ≤ 4 ) − P ( X ≤ 3 ) P ( X ≤ 4 ) − P ( X ≤ 1 ) = e − 3 μ − e − 4 μ e − μ − e − 4 μ = e μ − 1 e 3 μ − 1 = 1 e 2 μ + e μ + 1 . \begin{array}{l}
P (X \in [ 3, 4 ] | X \in [ 1, 4 ]) = \frac {P (X \in [ 3 , 4 ] \text{ and } X \in [ 1 , 4 ])}{P (X \in [ 1 , 4 ])} = \frac {P (X \in [ 3 , 4 ])}{P (X \in [ 1 , 4 ])} = \\
= \frac {P (X \leq 4) - P (X \leq 3)}{P (X \leq 4) - P (X \leq 1)} = \frac {e ^ {- 3 \mu} - e ^ {- 4 \mu}}{e ^ {- \mu} - e ^ {- 4 \mu}} = \frac {e ^ {\mu} - 1}{e ^ {3 \mu} - 1} = \frac {1}{e ^ {2 \mu} + e ^ {\mu} + 1}.
\end{array} P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ] ∣ X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ]) = P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ]) P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ] and X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ]) = P ( X ∈ [ 1 , 4 ]) P ( X ∈ [ 3 , 4 ]) = = P ( X ≤ 4 ) − P ( X ≤ 1 ) P ( X ≤ 4 ) − P ( X ≤ 3 ) = e − μ − e − 4 μ e − 3 μ − e − 4 μ = e 3 μ − 1 e μ − 1 = e 2 μ + e μ + 1 1 .
Answer: 1 e 2 μ + e μ + 1 \frac{1}{e^{2\mu} + e^{\mu} + 1} e 2 μ + e μ + 1 1 .
Question
5. Compute the conditional probability P ( X > t + s ∣ X > s ) \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{X} > \mathrm{t} + \mathrm{s} \mid \mathrm{X} > \mathrm{s}) P ( X > t + s ∣ X > s ) for s , t ≥ 0 \mathrm{s}, \mathrm{t} \geq 0 s , t ≥ 0 .
Solution
P ( X > t + s ∣ X > s ) = P ( X > s + t and X > s ) P ( X > s ) = P ( X > s + t ) P ( X > s ) = e − μ ( t + s ) e − μ s = = e − μ t . \begin{array}{l}
P (X > t + s \mid X > s) = \frac {P (X > s + t \text{ and } X > s)}{P (X > s)} = \frac {P (X > s + t)}{P (X > s)} = \frac {e ^ {- \mu (t + s)}}{e ^ {- \mu s}} = \\
= e ^ {- \mu t}.
\end{array} P ( X > t + s ∣ X > s ) = P ( X > s ) P ( X > s + t and X > s ) = P ( X > s ) P ( X > s + t ) = e − μ s e − μ ( t + s ) = = e − μ t .
Answer: P ( X > t + s ∣ X > s ) = e − μ t P(X > t + s \mid X > s) = e^{-\mu t} P ( X > t + s ∣ X > s ) = e − μ t .
Question
6. Find the mean of the exponential distribution with rate parameter μ > 0 \mu > 0 μ > 0 .
Solution
The mean is
E X = ∫ 0 ∞ t f ( t ) d t = ∫ 0 ∞ t μ e ( − μ t ) d t = − t e ( − μ t ) ∣ 0 ∞ + ∫ 0 ∞ e ( − μ t ) d t = = 0 − 0 − 1 μ e ( − μ t ) ∣ 0 ∞ = 0 + 1 μ = 1 μ . \begin{array}{l}
E X = \int_ {0} ^ {\infty} t f (t) d t = \int_ {0} ^ {\infty} t \mu e ^ {(- \mu t)} d t = - t e ^ {(- \mu t)} \Big | _ {0} ^ {\infty} + \int_ {0} ^ {\infty} e ^ {(- \mu t)} d t = \\
= 0 - 0 - \frac {1}{\mu} e ^ {(- \mu t)} \Big | _ {0} ^ {\infty} = 0 + \frac {1}{\mu} = \frac {1}{\mu}.
\end{array} EX = ∫ 0 ∞ t f ( t ) d t = ∫ 0 ∞ t μ e ( − μ t ) d t = − t e ( − μ t ) ∣ ∣ 0 ∞ + ∫ 0 ∞ e ( − μ t ) d t = = 0 − 0 − μ 1 e ( − μ t ) ∣ ∣ 0 ∞ = 0 + μ 1 = μ 1 .
Answer: E X = 1 μ E X = \frac{1}{\mu} EX = μ 1 .
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