Question #62254

Let A and B be any two events defined on the same sample space. Suppose P(A) = 0.3 and P(A B) = 0.6. Find P(B) such that A and B are independent.
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Expert's answer

2016-09-27T09:42:03-0400

Answer on Question #62254 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

Let A and B be any two events defined on the same sample space. Suppose P(A)=0.3P(A) = 0.3 and P(AB)=0.6P(A \cap B) = 0.6. Find P(B)P(B) such that A and B are independent.

Solution

Definition: Two events A and B are independent if P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B).

Equivalently: P(AB)=P(A)P(A|B) = P(A), P(BA)=P(B)P(B|A) = P(B).

Therefore

P(B)=P(AB)/P(A)=0.6/0.3=2P(B) = P(A \cap B) / P(A) = 0.6 / 0.3 = 2, which is false, because 2>12 > 1.

Thus, the problem has no solution.

Answer: the problem has no solution.

Question

Let A and B be any two events defined on the same sample space. Suppose P(A)=0.3P(A) = 0.3 and P(AB)=0.6P(A \cup B) = 0.6. Find P(B)P(B) such that A and B are independent.

Solution

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

If two events A and B are independent, then P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B).

Therefore

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A)P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B);

0.6=0.3+P(B)0.3P(B)0.6 = 0.3 + P(B) - 0.3 P(B);

0.7P(B)=0.30.7 P(B) = 0.3;

P(B)=0.3/0.7=3/7P(B) = 0.3 / 0.7 = 3 / 7.

Answer: P(B)=3/7P(B) = 3 / 7.

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