Question #55447

a company that manufactures rivets believes the shear strength of the rivets they manufacture follows a normal model with a mean breaking strength of 950 pounds and a standard deviation of 40 pounds

a) what percentage of rivets selected at random will break when tested under a 900 pound load?
b) you're trying to improve the rivets and want to examine some that fail. use a simulation to estimate how many rivets you might need to test in order to find three that fail at 900 pounds or below.
1

Expert's answer

2015-10-12T03:41:10-0400

Answer on Question #55447 – Math – Statistics and Probability

a company that manufactures rivets believes the shear strength of the rivets they manufacture follows a normal model with a mean breaking strength of 950 pounds and a standard deviation of 40 pounds

a) what percentage of rivets selected at random will break when tested under a 900 pound load?

b) you're trying to improve the rivets and want to examine some that fail. use a simulation to estimate how many rivets you might need to test in order to find three that fail at 900 pounds or below.

Solution

a) Let XX follow a normal model with a mean of 950 pounds and a standard deviation of 40 pounds. Let ZZ follow a normal model with a mean of 0 pound and a standard deviation of 1 pound.

Then Z=X95040Z = \frac{X - 950}{40}.

Calculate


P(X<900)=P(X95040<90095040)=P(Z<90095040)=P(Z<1.25)P(X < 900) = P\left(\frac{X - 950}{40} < \frac{900 - 950}{40}\right) = P\left(Z < \frac{900 - 950}{40}\right) = P(Z < -1.25)


From z-table obtain that


P(Z<1.25)=0.1056,P(Z < -1.25) = 0.1056,


hence


P(X<900)=0.1056P(X < 900) = 0.1056


10.56% of rivets selected at random will break when tested under a 900 pound load.

b) Proportion of rivets that fail at 900 pounds or below is 0.1056=3n0.1056 = \frac{3}{n}.

So sample size is determined by


n=30.1056=28.4 round up to 29.n = \frac{3}{0.1056} = 28.4 \text{ round up to } 29.


Answer: a) 10.56%; b) 29.

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