Question #49169

According to a reactor ding to government data, the probability that an adult was never in a museum is 15%. In a random survey of 10 adults, what is the probability that at least eight were in a museum?
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Expert's answer

2014-11-21T08:46:23-0500

Answer on Question #49169 – Math – Statistics and Probability

According to a reactor ding to government data, the probability that an adult was never in a museum is 15%. In a random survey of 10 adults, what is the probability that at least eight were in a museum?

Solution

We use Bernoulli formula to calculate the following probability:


Pn(k)=n!k!(nk)!pkqnkorPn(k)=CnkpkqnkP_n(k) = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} p^k q^{n-k} \quad \text{or} \quad P_n(k) = C_n^k p^k q^{n-k}


In our case, p=0.85p = 0.85, q=0.15q = 0.15.

The probability that at least eight were in a museum is


P=P10(8)+P10(9)+P10(10)==45×0.85×8×0.15×2+10×0.85×9×0.15+1×0.85×10×1=0.82 or 82%.\begin{array}{l} P = P_{10}(8) + P_{10}(9) + P_{10}(10) = \\ = 45 \times 0.85 \times 8 \times 0.15 \times 2 + 10 \times 0.85 \times 9 \times 0.15 + 1 \times 0.85 \times 10 \times 1 = 0.82 \text{ or } 82\%. \end{array}


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