Answer on Question #48728 – Math – Statistics and Probability
If the r.v. X X X is X X X is N ( 0 , 2 ) N(0,2) N ( 0 , 2 ) . Find P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 ∣ x ≥ 1 ) P(1 \leq x \leq 2 | x \geq 1) P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2∣ x ≥ 1 ) .
Solution
Using the definition of conditional probability,
P ( A ∣ B ) = P ( A and B ) P ( B ) , P (A \mid B) = \frac {P (A \text{ and } B)}{P (B)}, P ( A ∣ B ) = P ( B ) P ( A and B ) ,
It leads to
P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 ∣ x ≥ 1 ) = P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 and x ≥ 1 ) P ( x ≥ 1 ) = P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 ) P ( x ≥ 1 ) = P ( 1 − 0 2 ≤ x − 0 2 ≤ 2 − 0 2 ) P ( x − 0 2 ≥ 1 − 0 2 ) = P ( 0.71 ≤ z ≤ 1.41 ) P ( z ≥ 0.71 ) = P ( z ≤ 1.41 ) − P ( z ≤ 0.71 ) 1 − P ( z ≤ 0.71 ) . \begin{array}{l}
P (1 \leq x \leq 2 | x \geq 1) = \frac {P (1 \leq x \leq 2 \text{ and } x \geq 1)}{P (x \geq 1)} = \frac {P (1 \leq x \leq 2)}{P (x \geq 1)} = \frac {P \left(\frac {1 - 0}{\sqrt {2}} \leq \frac {x - 0}{\sqrt {2}} \leq \frac {2 - 0}{\sqrt {2}}\right)}{P \left(\frac {x - 0}{\sqrt {2}} \geq \frac {1 - 0}{\sqrt {2}}\right)} \\
= \frac {P (0 . 7 1 \leq z \leq 1 . 4 1)}{P (z \geq 0 . 7 1)} = \frac {P (z \leq 1 . 4 1) - P (z \leq 0 . 7 1)}{1 - P (z \leq 0 . 7 1)}.
\end{array} P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2∣ x ≥ 1 ) = P ( x ≥ 1 ) P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 and x ≥ 1 ) = P ( x ≥ 1 ) P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 ) = P ( 2 x − 0 ≥ 2 1 − 0 ) P ( 2 1 − 0 ≤ 2 x − 0 ≤ 2 2 − 0 ) = P ( z ≥ 0.71 ) P ( 0.71 ≤ z ≤ 1.41 ) = 1 − P ( z ≤ 0.71 ) P ( z ≤ 1.41 ) − P ( z ≤ 0.71 ) .
From z-table:
P ( z ≤ 0.71 ) = 0.7611 , P ( z ≤ 1.41 ) = 0.9207. P (z \leq 0. 7 1) = 0. 7 6 1 1, P (z \leq 1. 4 1) = 0. 9 2 0 7. P ( z ≤ 0.71 ) = 0.7611 , P ( z ≤ 1.41 ) = 0.9207.
Thus
P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 ∣ x ≥ 1 ) = 0.9207 − 0.7611 1 − 0.7611 = 0.6681. P (1 \leq x \leq 2 | x \geq 1) = \frac {0 . 9 2 0 7 - 0 . 7 6 1 1}{1 - 0 . 7 6 1 1} = 0. 6 6 8 1. P ( 1 ≤ x ≤ 2∣ x ≥ 1 ) = 1 − 0.7611 0.9207 − 0.7611 = 0.6681.
Answer: 0.6681.
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