Question #46754

(i) Each computer chip made in a certain plant will, independently, be defective with probability 0.25. If a sample of 1,000 chips is tested, what is the approximate probability that fewer than 200 chips will be defective?
(ii) A manufacturer of computer terminals claims that its product will last at least for 500 hours without needing repairs. Soft-i-Tech is considering buying many computer terminals. But, it wants to ensure that the claim made by the manufacturer is reasonably true.
Soft-i-Tech’s quality control managers examine the records of the manufacturer and find that a sample of 100 terminals had the average time before first breakdown occurred was 48 hours with a sample standard deviation of 25 hours.
Use this scenario that as you decrease α, say from 0.5 to 0.1 β(49) increases. What is the conclusion from this?

Expert's answer

Answer on Question #46754 – Math – Statistics and Probability

(i) Each computer chip made in a certain plant will, independently, be defective with probability 0.25. If a sample of 1,000 chips is tested, what is the approximate probability that fewer than 200 chips will be defective?

Solution:

n=1000

p=0.25

q=1-p=0.75

P(x<200)-?

Finding the binomial standard deviation:


σ=np(1−p)2=1000⋅0.25(1−0.25)2=187,52\sigma = \sqrt[2]{np(1-p)} = \sqrt[2]{1000 \cdot 0.25(1 - 0.25)} = \sqrt[2]{187,5}


Standardize the values of x using the Z-score formula:

Also we to use x=199.75x = 199.75 for the continuity correction.


z=x−npσ=199.75−250187,52=−50.2513.693=−3.67z = \frac{x - np}{\sigma} = \frac{199.75 - 250}{\sqrt[2]{187,5}} = \frac{-50.25}{13.693} = -3.67


Go to the Z-score chart to find the final answer:


P(x<200)=P(z<−3.67)=0.0001P(x < 200) = P(z < -3.67) = 0.0001

Answer: 0.0001

(ii) A manufacturer of computer terminals claims that its product will last at least for 500 hours without needing repairs. Soft-i-Tech is considering buying many computer terminals. But, it wants to ensure that the claim made by the manufacturer is reasonably true. Soft-i-Tech's quality control managers examine the records of the manufacturer and find that a sample of 100 terminals had the average time before first breakdown occurred was 48 hours with a sample standard deviation of 25 hours. Use this scenario that as you decrease α\alpha, say from 0.5 to 0.1 β(49)\beta(49) increases. What is the conclusion from this?

Solution:

The conclusion is: each 100 terminals breakdown every 48±2548 \pm 25 hours.

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