Question #45602

In a test on electric bulbs, it was found that the life time of a particular brand was normally distributed with an average life of 2000 hours and S.D. of 60 hours. If a firm purchases 2500 bulbs, find the number of bulbs that are likely to last for (i) more than 2100 hours, (ii) less than 1950 hours and (iii) between 1900 and 2100 hours.
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Expert's answer

2014-09-08T11:32:02-0400

Answer on Question #45602 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question.

In a test on electric bulbs, it was found that the life time of a particular brand was normally distributed with an average life of 2000 hours and S.D. of 60 hours. If a firm purchases 2500 bulbs, find the number of bulbs that are likely to last for (i) more than 2100 hours, (ii) less than 1950 hours and (iii) between 1900 and 2100 hours.

Solution.

Let ξ\xi be the life time of a particular brand. Then η=ξ200060\eta = \frac{\xi - 2000}{60} has a standard normal distribution i.e. P(η<x)=12πxet22dtP(\eta < x) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{-\infty}^{x} e^{-\frac{t^2}{2}} dt. Φ(x)=12π0xet22dt\Phi(x) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{0}^{x} e^{-\frac{t^2}{2}} dt is a tabulated function of Laplace.

(i) P(ξ>2100)=1P(ξ<2100)=1P(ξ200060<1.67)=1(0.5+Φ(1.67))=1(0.5+0.45254)=0.04746P(\xi > 2100) = 1 - P(\xi < 2100) = 1 - P\left(\frac{\xi - 2000}{60} < 1.67\right) = 1 - (0.5 + \Phi(1.67)) = 1 - (0.5 + 0.45254) = 0.04746. The corresponding number of bulbs is 25000.047461192500 \cdot 0.04746 \approx 119 bulbs.

(ii) P(ξ<1950)=P(ξ200060<0.83)=0.5Φ(0.83)=0.50.29673=0.20327P(\xi < 1950) = P\left(\frac{\xi - 2000}{60} < -0.83\right) = 0.5 - \Phi(0.83) = 0.5 - 0.29673 = 0.20327. The corresponding number of bulbs is 25000.203275082500 \cdot 0.20327 \approx 508 bulbs.

(iii) P(1900<ξ<2100)=P(1.67<ξ200060<1.67)=2Φ(1.67)=0.90508P(1900 < \xi < 2100) = P\left(-1.67 < \frac{\xi - 2000}{60} < 1.67\right) = 2 \cdot \Phi(1.67) = 0.90508. The corresponding number of bulbs is 25000.9050822632500 \cdot 0.90508 \approx 2263 bulbs.

Answer.

(i) 119 bulbs

(ii) 508 bulbs

(iii) 2263 bulbs

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