Question #45520

(a) A player tosses 3 fair coins. He wins Rs.500 if 3 heads appear, Rs.300 if 2 heads appear, Rs.100 if 1 head occurs. On the other hand, he loses Rs.1500 if 3 tails occur. Find the expected gain of the player and variance
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Expert's answer

2014-09-08T10:01:50-0400

Answer on Question #45520 – Math - Statistics and Probability

Problem.

A player tosses 3 fair coins. He wins Rs.500 if 3 heads appear, Rs.300 if 2 heads appear, Rs.100 if 1 head occurs. On the other hand, he loses Rs.1500 if 3 tails occur. Find the expected gain of the player and variance.

Solution.

The probability that head appears equals 12=0.5\frac{1}{2} = 0.5. The probability that tail appears equals 12=0.5\frac{1}{2} = 0.5.

The probability that 3 heads appear equals 0.53=0.1250.5^{3} = 0.125 by Bernoulli trial.

The probability that 2 heads appear equals (32)0.520.5=0.375\binom{3}{2} 0.5^{2} 0.5 = 0.375 by Bernoulli trial.

The probability that 1 heads appear equals (31)0.520.5=0.375\binom{3}{1} 0.5^{2} 0.5 = 0.375 by Bernoulli trial.

The probability that 0 heads appear equals (30)0.520.5=0.125\binom{3}{0} 0.5^{2} 0.5 = 0.125 by Bernoulli trial.



Expected gain E=0.125500+0.375300+0.375100+0.125(1500)=25E = 0.125 \cdot 500 + 0.375 \cdot 300 + 0.375 \cdot 100 + 0.125 \cdot (-1500) = 25.

Variance =0.125(500E)2+0.375(300E)2+0.375(100E)2+0.125(1500E)2=346953.125= 0.125 \cdot (500 - E)^{2} + 0.375 \cdot (300 - E)^{2} + 0.375 \cdot (100 - E)^{2} + 0.125 \cdot (-1500 - E)^{2} = 346953.125.

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