Question #45518

A pair of dice is rolled 180 times. What is the probability that a total of six occurs
a) At least 30 times b)between 33 and 42 times inclusive. Use Normal approximation to Binomial distribution
1

Expert's answer

2014-09-05T13:07:52-0400

Answer on Question #45518— Math — Statistics and Probability

A pair of dice is rolled 180 times. What is the probability that a total of six occurs a) At least 30 times b)between 33 and 42 times inclusive. Use Normal approximation to Binomial distribution.

Solution

To get six in a roll you have probability ((1,5)+(2,4)+(3,3)+(4,2)+(5,1))/(\mboxtotal62\mbox{total }6^{2} possibilities):

p=536p=\frac{5}{36}

So, if X = number of times a total occurs out of n=180 rolls then XB(180,5/36)X\sim B(180,5/36).

Now Let YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^{2}) be normal approximation of X

μ=np=180536=25,σ2=np(1p)=180536313621.5\mu=np=180\cdot\frac{5}{36}=25,\qquad\sigma^{2}=np(1-p)=180\cdot\frac{5}{36}\cdot\frac{31}{36}\approx 21.5

So we have

XN(25,21.5)X\sim N(25,21.5)

Now, using tables, we can easily find: a. X30X\geq 30 which is the same X29.5X\geq 29.5 (continuity correction).

P(X29.5)0.417106P(X\geq 29.5)\approx 0.417106

b. with continuity corrections: 32.5X42.532.5\leq X\leq 42.5:

P(32.5X42.5)0.363606P(32.5\leq X\leq 42.5)\approx 0.363606

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