Question #44828

At a cafeteria the customers arrive at an average of 0.3 per minute. The probability
that a)exactly 2 customers arrive in a 10 minute span b)2 or more customers arrive in a 10
minute span c) one customer arrives in a 5 minute span and one customer arrives in the next
minute span is
1

Expert's answer

2014-08-13T09:54:22-0400

Answer on Question #44828 – Math - Statistics and Probability

At a cafeteria the customers arrive at an average of λ=0.3\lambda = 0.3 per minute. The probability that a) exactly 2 customers arrive in a 10 minute span b) 2 or more customers arrive in a 10 minute span c) one customer arrives in a 5 minute span and one customer arrives in the next minute span is

Solution

We use a Poisson process with a parameter λt\lambda t, λt=0.3×10=3\lambda t = 0.3 \times 10 = 3 in items a) and b).

a)


P(2 customers in 10 minute span)=e0.310(0.310)22!=0.224.P(2 \text{ customers in 10 minute span}) = \frac{e^{-0.3 \cdot 10} (0.3 \cdot 10)^2}{2!} = 0.224.


b)


P(2 or more in 10 minute span)=1P(0)P(1)=1e0.310(0.310)00!e0.310(0.310)11!=0.8.\begin{array}{l} P(2 \text{ or more in 10 minute span}) = 1 - P(0) - P(1) \\ = 1 - \frac{e^{-0.3 \cdot 10} (0.3 \cdot 10)^0}{0!} - \frac{e^{-0.3 \cdot 10} (0.3 \cdot 10)^1}{1!} = 0.8. \end{array}


c)


P(one customer in 5 minute and one customer in the next minute)=e0.35(0.35)11!e0.31(0.31)11!=0.074.\begin{array}{l} P(\text{one customer in 5 minute and one customer in the next minute}) \\ = \frac{e^{-0.3 \cdot 5} (0.3 \cdot 5)^1}{1!} \cdot \frac{e^{-0.3 \cdot 1} (0.3 \cdot 1)^1}{1!} = 0.074. \end{array}


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